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Hazey

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Everything posted by Hazey

  1. A whiff for Bermuda at 12z. A raging wind/rain/snow storm at 18z. Nice to see some stability with the GFS…lmao.
  2. The Icon came dangerously close to crushing me with the s/w on the the 4th(Destroys Nick in St. John's). Definitely some west adjustments there on that run. I think the 6/7 could be in play especially for SNE.
  3. Ensembles still look solid. Bout all you can ask for at this timeframe. Long way to go before locking in op runs.
  4. Finished with 5”. Total snow otg is 1’. Most snow for on this date in 40 years here. Merry Christmas.
  5. Amazing what some snow cover will do. Sitting at 16f with a windchill and flurries. Much much better season so far.
  6. Some subtle signs up here that I may put the inverted trough fraud five myth to the test. Models hinting with a weenie band of heavy snow close to me on Christmas Eve/Day. Don’t really need it. Just some flakes in the air will be fine.
  7. 8.5” so far here. Might grab another inch or two as the wrap around swings through. Very meaty snow. Not quite 10:1 , Gonna be a workout to clear but not complaining. Very festive out. Congrats to you guys that got some snow for the holidays. I knew some were in the game down there.
  8. Crushed….on multiple models now. Looking solid here for Leo and I. Got some wiggle room so I hope some of you guys can grab something. Whatever falls will likely be on the ground for Christmas morning.
  9. GFS finally getting its sea legs back. Late to the party but should steady up now. That run slays Nova Scotia…lol. Damn. Could easily catch the Cape and SE Mass. Keep the faith.
  10. GFS has not been good with this system. It's been all over the map. Not my go to for this storm. It's becoming an outlier. Keep the faith.
  11. This threat ain’t done. Still plenty of time. I like where it’s at right now tbh. Icon has been pretty consistent with this s/w. Some others have been bouncing around. Keep the faith.
  12. The icon has been pretty steady overall but the weekend system is just coming into mid range. For now we ride the ensembles.
  13. Why is Santa in a sleigh and not a wagon or E-Scooter? What are snowmen? Darn shame but at least we got to experience the magic years ago when times were good.
  14. Sometime in the past we experienced our last snow otg Christmas and we didn't even know it. Sad it's ruined for the kids now. Climate change is a bitch..
  15. I'd lean pessimistic. Snow for the holidays gonna be another huge uphill climb but we are used to that by now. Fingers crossed for a festive miracle.
  16. Volatility and cold enough air. Perfect ingredients. Now lets bake this cake.
  17. We need to get the moisture in here on a regular bases before worrying about snow. That's the first hurdle. If pattern still looks good first week of Dec, then maybe we get a winter threat (provided it's cold enough)
  18. Off and on snow showers and gusty north winds. Accumulating at higher terrain. It’s a start. Rest of the month looks a bit more interesting. See how it progresses.
  19. Small window of time to watch. Nov 8-12 period. Some subtle signs on the models of a cool shot timed with a s/w. Probably nothing in the end.
  20. Pack retention is gone the way of the Dodo bird. Enjoy it when it falls....if it falls.
  21. Are there any bouy or floating sensors in the path that measure water depth? Curious if it could capture the “bulge”. No way this thing isn’t carrying a crap tonne of ocean water with it. Pressure has been too low for too long. Add on the length of time it’s had to traverse the gulf. Not good.
  22. Another run of the GFS with nothing happening through 384hrs. Tropics are cooked.
  23. Changing climate making tropical weather less predictable. Old thoughts and understanding ain’t working so good anymore.
  24. CC f'ing up the tropical scene? Super flaccid out there. Give it a couple more weeks before declaring erectile dysfunction on this season.
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