Hazey
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Everything posted by Hazey
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Wow this thing will miss by a country mile. Not even close. Even worse of a whiff than I thought. Won’t even touch St. John’s. Nickel and dimes to a subpar season it seems. Optically it looks good though with long duration snow coverage.
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She probably gone. Fast flow(blocking) not allowing to turn the corner. Can’t gain latitude and just glides east to ene. Seen this movie before. Struggle for the big ones this season.
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Haven’t had a good sou’easter this winter. We are due for one or two.
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The correction vector for these last few storms has been east(including the superbowl s/w). I wouldn't sweat 10 day details. One system at a time.
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There is some kind of phasing issues going. Not the first time this winter that a s/w has trouble amplifying as it gets closer to go time. Maybe that fast compressed flow is more of a hinderance than fist thought. Kinda puts red flags on the next week threats too. -
Bit of a (dare I say) mini 2015 vibe. Last time I can remember snowfall means that impressive. Could be a great stretch coming up.
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Pond and lake skating will be epic. A winter activity i haven't been able to do in years because lakes never froze over long enough and safe enough. A rare opportunity to explore some areas that would be hard to get to otherwise. We lace up our skates.
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Gulf coast with larger snowfall and possibly more snow to date than Gander Nfld. That's mind blowing.
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This is a good example on why you need to blend guidance. Drive yourself nuts following every model as they bobble around honing in on the eventual track. Was, and still is a solid threat. Be good timing to lay down some pack before the cold.
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Icon and Euro have been pretty rock solid with their solutions. Canadian is probably the western goalpost. The goofus has been unimpressive since it belly flopped on last weeks s/w. Discard that for now until it steadies up...lol
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Might have to let the JV models handle this one. The marquee models crapped the bed on the last threat. GFS to the slaughterhouse, Euro to the glue factory.
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12z Icon looking good. See what the rest of the model suites say. Lets keep that support going.
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We need a good cutter to shake things up. This current pattern is boring AF. The block need to be punted as it ain't doing nothing for us.
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I’d like to kick this -nao to the moon. Hopefully breaks down soon.
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Other than two runs of the goofus and a run, maybe two of the euro, has any other lr guidance shown a hit? Seems the odds were really stacked against this threat.
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A whiff for Bermuda at 12z. A raging wind/rain/snow storm at 18z. Nice to see some stability with the GFS…lmao.
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The Icon came dangerously close to crushing me with the s/w on the the 4th(Destroys Nick in St. John's). Definitely some west adjustments there on that run. I think the 6/7 could be in play especially for SNE.
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Ensembles still look solid. Bout all you can ask for at this timeframe. Long way to go before locking in op runs.
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Finished with 5”. Total snow otg is 1’. Most snow for on this date in 40 years here. Merry Christmas.
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December 2024 - Best look to an early December pattern in many a year!
Hazey replied to FXWX's topic in New England
Amazing what some snow cover will do. Sitting at 16f with a windchill and flurries. Much much better season so far. -
Some subtle signs up here that I may put the inverted trough fraud five myth to the test. Models hinting with a weenie band of heavy snow close to me on Christmas Eve/Day. Don’t really need it. Just some flakes in the air will be fine.
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8.5” so far here. Might grab another inch or two as the wrap around swings through. Very meaty snow. Not quite 10:1 , Gonna be a workout to clear but not complaining. Very festive out. Congrats to you guys that got some snow for the holidays. I knew some were in the game down there.
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You say good bye and I say hello...lol
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Crushed….on multiple models now. Looking solid here for Leo and I. Got some wiggle room so I hope some of you guys can grab something. Whatever falls will likely be on the ground for Christmas morning.
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GFS finally getting its sea legs back. Late to the party but should steady up now. That run slays Nova Scotia…lol. Damn. Could easily catch the Cape and SE Mass. Keep the faith.
