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Weather Will

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Everything posted by Weather Will

  1. The upcoming period is different in that there are hits to the south and offshore unlike the previous windows of opportunity. Let’s see where we are by the weekend. No snow maps from me until the weekend…(yes, I promise!)
  2. WB 18Z GFS on February 4. Find the puffy coat, and firewood….throw in the windchill….
  3. WB 6Z GEFS, one of the better long range runs of the season, will be disappointed if we all don’t see some snow cover in the next two weeks. Got to like the hits to the south as well at this range.
  4. WB OZ EURO ticked south with the Wed. storm….0Z compared to 18Z.
  5. WB 18Z GEFS v. GFS temp anomalies…. toss GFS outside 5 days.
  6. I am going with the 18Z ICON for Wed. Am. 18Z GEFS is onboard.
  7. The February torch Mets became very confident when they saw the MJO forecasted into Phase 4 ( warm phase for February). Last couple of days the MJO has trended toward going into the null phase rather than Phase 4. Maybe that explains some of the volatility in the longer range models. It can also give us hope that February is not a shut the blinds month.
  8. I hate this track. The angle is wrong and it's snows in PA before we get it! I don’t think Wed. Is a big storm for us. But if we get what the GFS is selling I will take it!!!!
  9. WB 18Z GEFS shows that the upcoming period can deliver with a little luck….
  10. Was told by the mods that allow the word F* and selectively enforce other rules (sorry the lawyer in me) no thread for Wed Storm until Tuesday. I plan to break the rule at 12Z tomorrow if warranted.
  11. The point is that having two pages between every model run about the base state being warmer is not necessary. It disrupts the flow of those trying to track the differences between model runs. We all know the base state is warming and whether it is a natural cycle, man-made or a combination of both is a topic to discuss in other threads. We don’t need to be told every run that if this were the 1960s this pattern would result in a snowier outcome… PEACE OUT….
  12. WB 18Z GFS for Wed. I am hoping for my first car topper of the season…
  13. It is fantasy range beyond 5 days but it is nice to see something at range to our south….
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