12Z ICON gives us another way to fail. Transfer to the south and too far off coast….But I would rather fail this way and like the south trend in transfer. It is progressive because there is another wave now kicking it out…update: second wave washes out to the south. I don’t think the ICON can handle the pattern. But SER is not the issue this run.
We are about seven days out and still in the game. Have not said that for 2 months. However I agree with the assessment that this first storm looks like a North or NW zone storm.