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Weather Will

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Everything posted by Weather Will

  1. Could be the kiss of death but JB in a recent WB post says he is tweaking his forecast for a faster start to winter in January. Hope the November seasonal updates in another week show the same thing.
  2. WB CFS. One run but..January....looks sweet.
  3. WB latest GEFS extended and EPS weeklies do forecast snow in our cold source regions the next month, which can't hurt our prospects for some cold in December.
  4. WB latest EURO weeklies are within a degree of average for November and average precipitation.
  5. None of the seasonal models have shown a cold November or December but rather a transition to an eastern trough as we get into January. Could we thread the needle with a cold enough storm to bring some snow for the holidays, sure....but way too soon to figure that out yet. WB 0Z EPS teleconnections don't scream torch or bitter cold pattern the next 2 weeks.
  6. WB latest EURO weeklies last week of November.
  7. Slight differences between the WB 12Z EURO and the GFS/ GDPS for Friday night/ Saturday. I sense it is going to be an active and brutal tracking season.
  8. Agreed that long term drought is still an issue, but my grass is greening up! Light drizzle is perfect for my grass seed.
  9. Nice steady rain. Third weekend in a row no watering needed. We are in a definite transition from the dry summer pattern N and W of DC.
  10. WB 12Z GEFS, CMC, and EPS Ens. Another wet weekend on tap...
  11. I love the snow maps as much as anyone, but to keep the snow map police at bay, couple of pointers, outside 5 days, the global snow maps are worthless, at 3-5 days they may be onto something if there is more than one global model supporting the scenario. Outside 5 days look for any trend on the ensembles. In this case, no real GEFS support at range.
  12. WB 6Z GFS. Impressive cold shot in fantasy land if verifies means first freeze in sight N&W.
  13. Aerated and seeded this week. Perfect rain! Don't have to water today. About a third of an inch so far.
  14. I would say in my casual observation of the weeklies, EURO tends to run too warm in the long range. The fact it is not torching the winter months at this point is a positive.
  15. AccuWeather forecast is out. Quick read they like mid November and February.
  16. WB latest EURO weeklies for mid November. Looks different from last year...
  17. WB 6Z GFS, last couple runs wetter for Friday/Saturday.
  18. WB latest GEFS and EURO weeklies for October
  19. WB 6Z GFS, GFS led the way with Ophelia another low could bring more welcome rain next weekend.
  20. WB latest WB EURO weeklies, my first digital .1 of the season!
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