Weather Will
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Everything posted by Weather Will
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Still looks like the periods to watch are February 27-28, and March 3-5. Long shots at best but from two weeks out I don’t remember a strong signal for the NC event that is occurring tomorrow. We will need some luck. Party never got started but it is over in about 4 weeks so we track the crumbs that the weather gods have handed us this year.
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WB 6z GEFS for first week of March. Perhaps the last chance still showing some life.
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WB 6z 3k NAM/ GFS
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WB 6Z GEFS only one Member liking end of next week.
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Thank you both. Thought you meant on my computers!!! I thought I was being punished for posting prob maps.
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Oz EPS still gives a little hope for the period February 27- March 5 with two systems. Can’t post maps anymore with this new .01MB limit.
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12Z GEFS. This is all Day 10 plus for us.
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WB 12Z 3K NAM...good luck southern folks! It will be a coup for the NAM if correct. ICON at 12Z is third of this in a much smaller area in east central NC, VA border.
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6Z WB GEFS
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Unrelated to weather, but perhaps I have been banned. I can't upload maps anymore. Something about file size. Anyone tell me where to go for instructions or what to do?
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WB EPS signals a chance small 20% or less chances starting late next week into the first week of March. The control also has a storm for early March.
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WB 12Z GEFS.....period to watch remains end of February into the first week of March. (The only area showing prob. before then is around SE VA for late this week.
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WB 6z EURO. No snow this work week. T minus about 4 weeks and counting.
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I would argue that the prob snow maps have been accurate. They have never trended above 50% for 3 inches or more all winter inside of five days and it has not snowed. During the 15 day ensemble period still no high probs of snow. I completely agree that snow maps don’t tell us anything about the pattern itself.
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Hug WB 6z GEFS P3 for 6 hours for long range hope.
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WB GFS Day 16. Appears to be the second threat window and perhaps the last as we lose the favorable EPO around this time.
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WB 0z EPS end of next week which is the first period I thought had a chance if the trough can dig deeper on the East coast. Not sure if that is possible without more ridging out west. Keep expectations very low.
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WB 18z GEFS...hits are not this week.
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I just don’t see it for the DMV except SE VA. Watch the EURO. If it changes, I will start believing.
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Not true at all...uptick in snow in southern and central va day 14 and 15 Isn’t most of that for the late week NC storm?
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WB 12z EPS thru Day 15. No changes. Nada.
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WB 12Z GEFS Mean Next Friday and snow map 28th thru 4th.
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WB 6Z GEFS. Looks like two possible shots. One next weekend, if that trough ends up deeper on the east coast, and then our last shot perhaps after Day 16. Those are the two periods that I am watching with some interest to see if the snow prob maps will respond.
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WB 6Z GFS. Friday is not showing any legs.
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WB 0z...nothing to be excited about yet. I will begin to lose hope by the end of this weekend if there are no upticks in these maps Our little bit of help from EPO and neutral PNA by the end of the week may not be enough with such a hostile AO and NAO.
