GFS 18z too far North. There are still a few 12z EPS members to give the NW suburbs a little hope, about 10 percent. But better than 0 so I will keep a quarter of an eye on it.
WB EURO at 12z looks like an improvement over 0z but still rain. 100-150 miles is doable over 5 days. At least it is something to track other than a torch.
About 20 percent of 0z WBEPS members show snow for the far Northwest suburbs... let’s see if this is the start of a trend or a blip.
Looks like we got some tracking. The chill storm looks promising. The weekend storm is a matter of a super lucky placement of that 500mb
I like the probability maps because they are useful in seeing trends when viewed over several runs. I use the 3 inch or more to get rid of the noise of the members showing a dusting. The reality is that there is 0 percent chance of snow before next weekend. No map of any kind will change that reality.