Weather Will

Yup....next.

WB 12Z EURO brings spotty freezing rain to MD PA border Wed. night. (slightly colder than 0Z.)

WB 12Z Canadian/Canadian Ens. This weekend.

GFS WB 12Z for Saturday Night/Sunday am; GEFS.

Exactly.... you can’t get your hopes up unless those probabilities start going up inside of 10 days. Think of it like a coin toss. I can toss it a 100 times but my chances of getting heads is always 50% with every toss. Our probability of snow over a two week period as stated in previous posts is usually a certain percentage....your antennae should go up when the percentage goes above the average and when we are getting into the shorter ranges. Probability maps are just a quick and dirty way to see if our snow chances are trending better, worse, or about the same.

WB 6z GEFS. Starts to show snow chances increasing Day 7 on. Maybe we will have some storms to track by the end of this work week.

WB EPS has only 10-20 percent of snow 3 inches or more for this weekend. 10 day plus is more enthusiastic, but that is 10 Day plus again...

I don’t see any EPS support for any winter precip during this work week.

18Z EPS Day 6

Commercials, and halftime show! Oh and food!

WB D’Aleo says consensus in the long range, 10 day plus growing. How far south the snow goes depending exactly how strong SE ridge will be.

Only three people looking at the weather during the Super Bowl.

Nothing has been settled yet for the weekend. OPs aren’t really in range and until EPS on board I won’t be optimistic.

WB 18Z GFS on board for one run for the weekend. Anxious to see 18Z EPS in an hour or so.

WB 12Z EURO Control throws a 7 Day bone to the NW suburbs. I am actually wanting to believe we will see something this coming weekend somewhere close by if not IMBY.

12 Z EPS still not biting over the next 7 days.

WB 12Z Canadian snowfall thru Day 7.

WB 12Z EURO Day 7

WB 12 EURO at Day 5 is a much different surface map compared to 0Z. The intense Great Lakes low on 0z is replaced with a wave bringing snow to WV...ie much more like an overrunning event. Not sure if we can get a miracle but forecast for the upcoming late week not set in stone yet...

WB 12Z GEFS...expanded the view because I see it as a positive seeing the mean snow expanding in the Tenn. valley. But still all Day 10 plus....

I am not sure why the surprise. First commandment of weather. Thou shall not expect snow until the EURO/EPS is on board.

WB 0Z EPS mean thru next weekend.

WB 18Z 500MB looks pretty good, however, at Day 6....

18z WB EPS has only 2 out of 50 Members with any snow south of the Mason Dixon line which goes through Friday.