Weather Will

Have we ever had three accumulating storms (low bar--inch or more) in March?

EPS through Day 9 shows a mean throughout the DMV of 4-5 inches. There are about 20 individual Members that give us 6 plus inches. Caveat: This includes the three possible storms : Friday, Monday and Wed. Definitely interesting weather the next 9 days to watch!

One of my favorite memories of March was 93. We had several inches of snow with the thickest layer of sleet on top that I had ever seen. I was in my my 20s skating around the backyard in the late afternoon. It had been very mild 60 or 70 the day before. It can stick in March or anytime of year if it is coming down hard enough.

WP has a good article on snowfall this year so far. No one from DC, South or West should objectively be complaining. We are at climo or better. It would be great to get one more before it’s over....It is nice to gave something to watch inside 2 weeks at the 3rd week of February. Everyone should realize that what makes it so fun to track in the Middle Atlantic is that we are almost always on the edge: rain vs snow/ light vs heavy rates etc. step back and stay at 30,000 feet until the middle of next week....then start tearing apart each operational run....I know much easier said then done.

My nonexpert look at 12zEPS based on the mean of low locations shows coastal possibilities for the 2nd and the 5th. 5th actually looks better to me. I am going to get some sleep this weekend! Again at least we have a seat in the ball park for the 2nd-5th period.....

Widespread precip signal again....Big storms, historic storms give a signal on the operational models 5 plus days out. So let’s see if it is still there in some fashion over the next week....details to be determined next weekend. So what if we are are at day 11 or so.....at least there is a chance at a big ending that is not purely weenie wishcasting.

It is fun tracking snow into early March.....we will see what happens!!!

Mean is much lower. Only about 12 members give the same output or more. A start in the right direction....

EPS Control is a hit for the March 4-6 period. Not epic but 6 inches south of DC, over a foot north and west.

Snowing in Brunswick. Light dusting everywhere. 30.

OPM has a new policy. Federal employees no longer get snow days or weather and safety leave as it is now called. We must either take personal leave or telework.

MARC Brunswick line canceled. Penn and Camden on holiday schedule. Guess the state of MD thinks it will be pretty bad tomorrow

Surface temps transition above freeze no between 18z and 6 z everywhere. I am not skilled enough to say whether there is much frozen during this time frame except in Nortgern MD

Lot of rain until 18z Th. Looks like 1.5 inches total for storm. About a third frozen.

Euro bring in light snow around 12z. Stays snow through 18z based on 850s. Loudoun, Southern Frederick through Baltimore 6 inches using clown maps. DC 4.

AMEN!!!

JB in his premium video on Weather Bell admits the next two weeks look like a disaster and he was wrong......no crescendo of cold in sight. Interesting part about it is that no one can explain why. If the MJO has been the driver this winter, perhaps the models will respond in a week or so to the move into Phase 8 and perhaps 1......

Don't kill the messengers...enjoy reading the expertise and experiencing the weather passion of this forum. Sometimes as has been stated before, a little luck is needed. But we should not put out an "It's OVER, GROVER WATCH" based on one set of overnight runs.

If you just look at the EPS mean through day 8 (midweek storm) looks like the mean is still increasing. Also, about 60% of the members are showing at least a moderate event (3 or more inches) in my quick count. (Disclaimer---I am still learning to interpret the ensembles; but it appears that the EPS is showing a much stronger signal for middle of next week than the weekend threat.)

I am gettting off the train at Brunswick fron DC in 10 minutes....anyone tell me if it is icy there?

As a federal employee myself, not NWS, I would say constructive criticism is something anyone should gladly accept, but crap about pay checks etc. is unwarranted. Also, recognize that most federal employees are doing their best to serve the public, but we are human and can make mistakes. I make at least one every day....

Weather Advisory for light glaze of ice expanded toward Most areas just Nortg and West of ‘95 at 10pm. Safe travels this evening

31; everything from streets and sidewalks a coating of white....beautiful!

EPS looks very solid as well next 13 days. Tight gradient of 6 inches DC proper with over a foot for the southern part of the northern Md counties. Several individual members have widespread foot across the DMV I’ve the next 2 weeks. Not just a few individual members skewing the mean.

Best wishes for your son.