WB 0Z GEFS and EPS show another tropical threat to watch NW of Caribbean in about 7 days. Yes, the GFS has been persistent over the past several runs that this could make a run at the Mid Atlantic. WB 0Z GFS.
No GEFS support for the GFS 2nd week hurricane. WB 12Z GEFS.
In prep for upcoming winter, keep reminding myself the globals are pretty worthless outside a few days.
WB 12Z EPS, pretty tight consensus through Day 5 north of PR (Sunday), then the individual members start to diverge thru early next week...but still show most members well east of US mainland.