Weather Will
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Everything posted by Weather Will
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Lot of false hope in December with H5 maps…chance of any meaningful snow the first week of January is de minimus. Maybe by next weekend there will be someone to track inside 10 days.
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WB OZ EURO in fantasy range
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WB 18Z GEFS still advertises an improving pattern and progressively colder air as we approach mid month.
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WB 17 GEFS Friday precip.
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WB 18Z GEFS not impressed with late week….
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They need to add Frederick….the local tv Mets from yesterday did a bad job with today’s weather….no mention of fog….
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Very poor visibility with rain and fog in the drive home from dinner between Frederick and Brunswick…Littje surprised no dense fog advisory in effect….
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WB 18Z CVSv2 has it below normal 30 day period January 13-February 12. The precip. For the entire period is high….we need some luck.
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WB Extended GEFS control for the 35 day period, yah, I know but this place has gotten so depressing…and you always must have hope as you get ready to start the New Year!
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Agreed, one decent storm would be great…
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WB extended GEFS- 7 day temp. departures at Days 10, 20, and 30. Really takes until the 7 day period ending about the 20th for areas along the east coast to go normal/ slightly below normal.
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WB GEFS extended control goes extreme and brings the cold and snow….honestly, no one knows what is going to happen mid to late January.
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WB latest extended GEFS… 7 day period ending on the 16th…
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Nice lunchtime walk, warm even with just a light jacket…
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WB 6Z GFS at Day 6 and 6Z Euro ensemble mean at Day 6, ( not much different) extrapolate at will…
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What is encouraging is that the end of the torch period is now under 10 days….specifics TBD.
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WB 6Z GFS for Jan 8 23.
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Hopefully we will have a discreet threat to track by the end of NEXT week….
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1/35 chance inside 9 days….18Z GEFS (1 also to the east, west and north).
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You take whatever crumbs we can get…this period is the only game in town the next couple of weeks.
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WB extended GEFS. 4 days ago the 7 day snow period ending on the 19th compared to latest run for the same period. Anomalies centered around the 10th for those that hate the snow maps….
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Latest WB 18Z GEFS is better for the January 10th period potential…. 12Z yesterday, the bad 12Z run today, and the latest.
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Never give up after one run!!!!
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WB 12Z GEFS, not a good run, basically says forget winter into mid January. Looking at individual members still about a third bringing colder air by mid month.
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Latest WB GEFS extended has lowest height anomalies centered around the 15th in the next 20 days. We then lose the eastern trough again so maybe only a brief window of opportunity in mid January.
