Weather Will
-
Posts
6,996 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Weather Will
-
The EURO AI went from an intense low to nothing in a day. True rug pull. WB 6Z EURO AI compared to 6Z yesterday.
-
WB 9Z NBM
-
WB 6Z GFS
-
It is a red flag that the EURO AI never got above 30-40% with big hits and EURO is the usual Dr. No. Agree that we are still a few days from knowing....and there is always our March miracle blizzard Hail Mary to pad our totals.
-
It is just one run but agree very disappointing.
-
WB 0Z EURO AI and temps are in the 40s now on Sunday so this accumulation is overdone.
-
Weak sauce. WB 0Z Can. Looks like most of the energy does not come out east. Heads to the upper Midwest.
-
WB 0Z GFS compared to 18Z GFS: future runs see if the coastal low strengthens faster/ its exact track.
-
Turns to rain by 7am Sunday,
-
4am Sun.
-
WB 0Z GFS 10 pm Sat. Compared to 18Z.
-
WB AI GFS is still way north. Amazing how different from ICON at Day 7.
-
WB 0Z ICON storm track stays to our south with both the late week and the Sunday system. Brings a few inches to SW and central VA.
-
WB 0Z NBM
-
I agree with your assessment that the upcoming weekend can still work (snow) before a true thaw takes place and then maybe we reload one more time. At least it does not look like a shut the blind's pattern to me yet.
-
WB's JB just released an updated video. His take is that there will be warmup after the upcoming week, followed by a cool down as we head into the end of the month into March. Reasoning: return of a negative WPO and his belief that the NAO will trend more negative. He cites similarities to 56 and 60.
-
I greatly respect your opinion, and appreciate your matter of fact tone and expertise. Thank you. If I understand you correctly, seeing the PNA go to -3 to -4 standard deviation makes it really tough for us to be cold enough for snow. My hope is that some of the members that are less extreme win out over the next week or it takes a little longer to tank that low; or as others pointed out other indices blunt its effect to some degree. We will find out soon enough! Best.
-
WB 12Z AI EPS
-
If the EURO AI ends up being even close to correct, it truly is the new King. Think we discussed this before, but it never had last year's February failure. Let's see what its EPS says shortly.
-
WB 12Z GDPS 10am Sunday compared to 0Z also came way north.
-
I don't know what to say about the WB 12Z GFS except with the wild swings it is a work in progress; wait for the GEFS. Below is next Sunday 1pm compared to 6Z.
-
FWIW, WB 12Z ICON takes both of the upcoming weekend waves to the south.
-
WB 6Z AI EURO
-
WB 6Z GEFS
-
WB 6Z AI EURO still has the storm but it ticked NW this run.
