Weather Will

WB 0Z EPS. Next big dog chance a couple weeks away....enjoy the break this week. Clean up the yard warning in effect.....

SNOW SQUALL WARNING NWS BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 429 AM EST THU JAN 1 2026 MDC005-013-021-027-031-043-VAC043-069-107-165-171-187-840-WVC003-027-031-037-011030- /O.NEW.KLWX.SQ.W.0004.260101T0929Z-260101T1030Z/ 429 AM EST THU JAN 1 2026 Baltimore County MD-Carroll County MD-Frederick County MD-Howard County MD-Montgomery County MD-Washington County MD-Clarke County VA-Frederick County VA-Loudoun County VA-Rockingham County VA-Shenandoah County VA-Warren County VA-City of Winchester County VA-Berkeley County WV-Hampshire County WV-Hardy County WV-Jefferson County WV- The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Snow Squall Warning for... Southeastern Washington County in north central Maryland... Howard County in central Maryland... Montgomery County in central Maryland... Southern Frederick County in north central Maryland... Southwestern Baltimore County in northern Maryland... South central Carroll County in north central Maryland... Loudoun County in northern Virginia... Shenandoah County in northwestern Virginia... Frederick County in northwestern Virginia... Northeastern Rockingham County in western Virginia... Warren County in northwestern Virginia... Clarke County in northwestern Virginia... The City of Winchester in northwestern Virginia... Jefferson County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... Central Hardy County in eastern West Virginia... South central Berkeley County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... Southeastern Hampshire County in eastern West Virginia... * Until 530 AM EST. * At 429 AM EST, a dangerous snow squall was located along a line extending from near New Market to near Berryville to near Moorefield, moving southeast at 35 mph. HAZARD...Intense bursts of heavy snow. Gusty winds leading to blowing snow and visibility rapidly falling to less than one-quarter mile. Wind gusts up to 35 mph. SOURCE...Radar and webcams. IMPACT...Dangerous and life-threatening travel conditions are expected to develop rapidly in the warning area.

Amazing!!!!!! Like a blizzard!!!!!! Roads covered.

County VA-Frederick County VA-Loudoun County VA-Berkeley County WV-Hampshire County WV-Hardy County WV-Jefferson County WV-Mineral County WV-Morgan County WV- The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Snow Squall Warning for... Washington County in north central Maryland... Northwestern Carroll County in north central Maryland... Frederick County in north central Maryland... Northern Loudoun County in northern Virginia... Central Frederick County in northwestern Virginia... Northern Clarke County in northwestern Virginia... Jefferson County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... Morgan County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... Mineral County in eastern West Virginia... Northern Hardy County in eastern West Virginia... Berkeley County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... Hampshire County in eastern West Virginia... * Until 430 AM EST. * At 329 AM EST, a dangerous snow squall was located along a line extending from 6 miles southeast of Mount Holly Springs to near Berkeley Springs to Keyser, moving southeast at 40 mph. HAZARD...Intense bursts of heavy snow. Gusty winds leading to blowing snow and visibility rapidly falling to less than one-quarter mile. Wind gusts up to 35 mph. SOURCE...Radar and webcams. IMPACT...Dangerous and life-threatening travel conditions are expected to develop rapidly in the warning area. This includes the following highways... Interstate 68 in Maryland between mile markers 72 and 80. Interstate 70 in Maryland between mile markers 1 and 58. Interstate 81 in Maryland between mile markers 1 and 11. Interstate 270 in Maryland near mile marker 32. Locations impacted include... Frederick, Hagerstown, Winchester, Westminster, Martinsburg, Thurmont, Keyser, Charles Town, Emmitsburg, Moorefield, Romney, Shepherdstown, Hancock, Paw Paw, Municipal Stadium, Harry Grove Stadium, Greenwood, Ballenger Creek, Robinwood, and Taneytown. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Reduce speed and turn on headlights! During snow squalls, the visibility may suddenly drop to near zero in whiteout conditions.

0Z NAM ticked south...no dice. Wishing all of you a Healthy and Happy 2026!!!! And a Blizzard or Two!!!

I agree.....that is why I'm saving this picture for mid month....

Let's test the can kicking of the models. Below are WB EPS 12Z temp panels for the 15th. Let's see which way they trend over the next two weeks.

WB 12Z EPS ensemble at range is cold enough: question is will it delivery anything but the same old same old for the later half of the month.

There is snow on the beach at OCMD this am.....pull up a webcam!

It was not that long ago that the temps on the weeklies showed it would be around the 10th when temps would start to go below average and the pattern would begin to be conducive for snow. If there is no tracking by mid month, I will be disappointed. Until then, patience is needed, and maybe we will get lucky with a small event before then....I am watching Sunday.... WB 18Z EURO compared to 12Z.

Noticed that GEFS is heading MJO into Phase 6. IF correct, we will have to wait through mid January for a great pattern....on other hand EURO has it neutral before heading back toward 7-8. I think that is why we are struggling with the mid range. Phase 6 won't work....

Few flurries!

WB 18Z GEFS snow totals through Day 13....everyone just needs to keep expectations in check with one day 10 forecast run of a global model. Hopefully the pattern will deliver. Fighting stomach flu and taking down Christmas decorations. It was nice to get a good run to brighten my spirits.

WB 18Z GEFS for Day 10.

I guess what I'm trying to say is that I'm not seeing much snow potential until the following weekend storm period...about Jan. 9 forward.

18Z GFS Absolute Disaster and 18Z EURO AI is snowless too. 10 pages of hype will hopefully still deliver but it is not snowing this week. Let's see what the models show next weekend before getting too excited about January. We've been down this road too many times before...

Glad I decided to take down the outdoor Christmas decorations today.... District of Columbia-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore- Cecil-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles-St. Marys-Calvert-Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard- Northwest Harford-Southeast Harford-Nelson-Albemarle-Greene- Madison-Rappahannock-Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria- Northern Fauquier-Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun-Northwest Prince William-Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- 1211 PM EST Sun Dec 28 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM MONDAY TO 1 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of DC, central, north central, northeast, northern, and southern Maryland, and central, northern, and northwest Virginia. * WHEN...From 9 AM Monday to 1 AM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

I see why no one is talking about the 12Z GFS but it does have a big dog in the 2nd weekend of Jan...so now we wait for the triumphant victory or the agony of defeat.

It is rare air to get all the teleconnections to line up in our favor.....heading in that direction as we go through the next 2 weeks. WB 0Z EPS.

Latest EPS extended through early February. Just need it to deliver.

Happy for our NY friends: from NY NWS: If the forecast verifies, Central Park will receive its first snowfall of greater than 4 inches since January 2022. In the January 28-29, 2022 storm 8.3 inches was observed.

Yes, could be a sneaky freezing rain event here. Roads could be icy Friday evening.

WB 12Z EURO

Quiet morning and perfect travel weather to visit family and friends. Wishing all of you the peace, hope, and joy of the Christmas season.....and a blizzard in January.

NAMs are a nothing burger for us and most currently in the WSW area. (WB 0Z 3K NAM).