Weather Will

It was not that long ago that the temps on the weeklies showed it would be around the 10th when temps would start to go below average and the pattern would begin to be conducive for snow. If there is no tracking by mid month, I will be disappointed. Until then, patience is needed, and maybe we will get lucky with a small event before then....I am watching Sunday.... WB 18Z EURO compared to 12Z.

Noticed that GEFS is heading MJO into Phase 6. IF correct, we will have to wait through mid January for a great pattern....on other hand EURO has it neutral before heading back toward 7-8. I think that is why we are struggling with the mid range. Phase 6 won't work....

Few flurries!

WB 18Z GEFS snow totals through Day 13....everyone just needs to keep expectations in check with one day 10 forecast run of a global model. Hopefully the pattern will deliver. Fighting stomach flu and taking down Christmas decorations. It was nice to get a good run to brighten my spirits.

WB 18Z GEFS for Day 10.

I guess what I'm trying to say is that I'm not seeing much snow potential until the following weekend storm period...about Jan. 9 forward.

18Z GFS Absolute Disaster and 18Z EURO AI is snowless too. 10 pages of hype will hopefully still deliver but it is not snowing this week. Let's see what the models show next weekend before getting too excited about January. We've been down this road too many times before...

Glad I decided to take down the outdoor Christmas decorations today.... District of Columbia-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore- Cecil-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles-St. Marys-Calvert-Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard- Northwest Harford-Southeast Harford-Nelson-Albemarle-Greene- Madison-Rappahannock-Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria- Northern Fauquier-Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun-Northwest Prince William-Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- 1211 PM EST Sun Dec 28 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM MONDAY TO 1 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of DC, central, north central, northeast, northern, and southern Maryland, and central, northern, and northwest Virginia. * WHEN...From 9 AM Monday to 1 AM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

I see why no one is talking about the 12Z GFS but it does have a big dog in the 2nd weekend of Jan...so now we wait for the triumphant victory or the agony of defeat.

It is rare air to get all the teleconnections to line up in our favor.....heading in that direction as we go through the next 2 weeks. WB 0Z EPS.

Latest EPS extended through early February. Just need it to deliver.

Happy for our NY friends: from NY NWS: If the forecast verifies, Central Park will receive its first snowfall of greater than 4 inches since January 2022. In the January 28-29, 2022 storm 8.3 inches was observed.

Yes, could be a sneaky freezing rain event here. Roads could be icy Friday evening.

WB 12Z EURO

Quiet morning and perfect travel weather to visit family and friends. Wishing all of you the peace, hope, and joy of the Christmas season.....and a blizzard in January.

NAMs are a nothing burger for us and most currently in the WSW area. (WB 0Z 3K NAM).

Look at the WB 0Z HRRR radar at hour 48. Not much snow in the northern zone... wondering if the heavy precipitation is trending more toward us, ripping off the northern MA of a snowstorm and bringing an ice storm to us..

WB 0Z HRRR....a lot like the RRFS..

WB 18Z EURO

Gov' t employees work their ass off with limited resources and barebones staffing. As a recently retired federal employee myself, if you want better models write your Congressional Members and tell them that NOAA needs more resources to develop better models. Don't disparage feds in this forum or you should be banned.

It is not the torch that was advertised less than a week ago... baby steps.

WB 12Z EURO. EURO is below freezing on Friday just North of DC all day.

WB 6Z GFS and NBM

I think we go from torch to icy/ cold rain this storm with a more positive long range and call it a win...

WB 18Z GFS