Weather Will

WB 12Z GEFS

107 PM EST Thu Feb 5 2026 ...EXTREME COLD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills as low as 0 to 10 degrees below zero possible east of the Blue Ridge, and as low as 15 degrees below zero west of the Blue Ridge. * WHERE...Portions of DC, central, north central, northeast, and northern Maryland, northern, northwest, and western Virginia, and eastern and panhandle West Virginia. * WHEN...From late Friday night through Sunday morning. * IMPACTS...The cold wind chills as low as 15 below zero could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. Frostbite and hypothermia will occur if unprotected skin is exposed to these temperatures. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Wind chills will remain at or below zero during the day on Saturday due to windy conditions and cold temperatures.

Euro is much colder this run for next weekend but can't see surface maps yet. WB 12Z EURO.

Super Bowl is this weekend....

Looks strung out and weak. WB 12Z EURO AI

Does it go out through next weekend yet?

Actually two cutters....

WB OZ GEFS low positions for 10 am Saturday shows we have a lot of uncertainty still. GN!

It is showing a storm, relax. What model is going to nail storm track 10 days out?

0Z AI GFS is a much weaker and far southern version of the Can.

Yes, but the key takeaway again is another global model showing an east coast threat in about 10 days.

WB 0Z Can. should prevent cliff jumping for another run.

As opposed to no storm or a shredded mess storm.

The only thing I take from the WB 0Z GFS is the threat of a storm somewhere along the east coast next weekend.

Yup....WB 18Z AI EURO

WB 12Z GEFS is not suppressed.

For what it is worth....WB 12Z EURO in fantasy range.

Running through Day 9 on WB GEFS does not look suppressed.

WB 6Z AI EPS still showing potential next weekend.

It is fun to look at the globals in fantasy range but reality is we need to just look at trends in the ensembles. Biggest take is that next weekend still has potential.

6Z EURO AI is a dud.

WB 6Z GFS zoom....

WB 0Z EURO AI held.

WB 18Z AI EPS for five day period ending NEXT Sunday evening.

WB 18Z GFS wacky HH run at fantasy range.