Weather Will
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Everything posted by Weather Will
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Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread
Weather Will replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Flakes mixing in with rain. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread
Weather Will replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
The official NWS forecast for my area is for 3-6 inches. I will be more patient and see if I get 3 on the lawn by am. Lived in the DMV a long time, had a lot of 35 degree rain storms that were supposed to be snow. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread
Weather Will replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Without heavy rates, even if it starts to snow again, the ground and air are too warm and wet. I was not expecting a blizzard but was hoping for 3-6 inches. Ain't happening unless you are NE of DC with higher elevation and maybe the Cactoctins with the IVT. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread
Weather Will replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
NWS should downgrade the winter storm warning to a drizzle warning for Frederick. I bet I don't get an inch. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread
Weather Will replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Depending on the Norlun is like depending on the lottery to have enough money to live in retirement. NEXT..... -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread
Weather Will replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
36, very light mix. Actually hope heavier precip. Moves in after 2 as we start to lose sun angle for the day. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread
Weather Will replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread
Weather Will replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
12Z HRRR statewide and zoomed. Area wide changeover takes place between 4-5. NW zones and elevation spots change over sooner. Radar forecast at noon, 4, and 5. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread
Weather Will replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
It is slowly caving to the 3K especially in NW zones. Anxious to see if I turn to snow before noon west of 15 in Frederick county. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread
Weather Will replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread
Weather Will replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread
Weather Will replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
9Z HRRR is still rain throughout the day. Nothing like 6Z 3K NAM. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread
Weather Will replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread
Weather Will replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Big deal if 3K is correct. Warnings will need to go up for DC and immediate suburbs. Big change. Any comments from the Mets on 3K? Is it out to lunch? -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread
Weather Will replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
We will know if WB 3K NAM is correct soon. 10 am radar compared to 0Z. 10 am surface temps are colder too do to rates. Big deal -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread
Weather Will replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread
Weather Will replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread
Weather Will replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
WB 0Z snow maps compared to 18Z. Nice storm but nothing major about it in Frederick or Loudon counties except Northern Catoctins on this run. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread
Weather Will replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
0Z 3K NAM was a drier run for the western burbs compared to 18Z. I see no sign of the IVT east of the mountains this run. Reality is setting in that this is a major storm for the eastern DC burbs and the shore. I will be happy with 3-5 inches of snow blowing around in 40 mph gusts Monday am. Maybe I will get a miracle burst from the IVT to jack my totals but not counting on it. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread
Weather Will replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread
Weather Will replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread
Weather Will replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
12K is crap model. 3K not nearly as good during the day. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread
Weather Will replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Busy day and getting caught up. Lot of talk about the low hugging the coast or going west. My non expert observation is that the reason we don't get slammed further west/ south is because the low intensifies parallel to the Delmarva rather than further south say off of Norfolk. If the storm intensifies faster than forecast and hugs the coast then the NW burbs could get heavier snow. Also, can someone better explain the IVT? I still don't get it. Thanks. -
2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
Weather Will replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
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2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
Weather Will replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
WB 18Z 3K NAM wind gusts 40-50 are widespread developing by midnight Sunday and lasting for a good part of Monday.
