Weather Will

WB 18Z AI EPS: first threat of the season in early December?

Yes! Much needed rain on the way. WB 18Z 3K NAM.

WB 9Z NBM for late Tuesday/ early Wed. We need every drop...

Latest WB EPS weeklies 30 day period ending Dec. 31.

WB 12Z 12K NAM

Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Cecil-Southern Baltimore-Northwest Harford-Southeast Harford-Augusta-Rockingham- Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Page-Warren-Clarke-Western Loudoun- Hampshire-Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson-Hardy- 729 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Northwest winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of north central, northeast, and northern Maryland, northern, northwest, and western Virginia, and the eastern panhandle of West Virginia. * WHEN...From 9 AM to 6 PM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

Latest EPS and GEFS extended MJO both head into Phase 7 by the end of the month after a long stall in warm Phase 6. Question: DT states 7 is still a warm phase in December while JB says 7 is ok in December. Anyone have data on this topic. If 7 is still warm we will wait until mid December for Phase 8.

WB latest GEFS control, a magical early December to remember....

I share your enthusiasm for snow and many on the forum will say that I still post too many "clown" snow maps, ( I think I'm a better poster now with the excellent constructive feedback I have received) but there is nothing here....when I see many members showing 3 or more inches of snow inside 7 days, I start watching. You will be able to post the above most of the season and you won't see a flake east of the mountains. With this system, at this time it is weak sauce on the EPS and just too warm. WB 12Z EPS.

WP forecast is for slightly below average snowfall and the article is a good reference because it provides a summary/link of the local forecaster's winter forecasts. General theme is more snow for the NW zones this year. https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2025/11/13/dc-winter-forecast-snow-2025-2026/

I get it, but let's try to keep the vibes positive this winter, at least it is not a shut the blinds look....maybe we will get lucky...

WB latest EPS for 30 day period starting with Thanksgiving. Looks a lot better than most recent years.

Not sure where to ask this question ...but anyone have any intel. on whether the new Canadian PARA now on WB is a good model? It will be interesting to see how it tracks storms this winter.

Latest extended EPS extended MJO. Phase 7 to 8 in December would be nice...

WB 6Z EURO for Tues am. Hopefully an appetizer for the winter season ahead!

Latest EPS extended MJO. I read 7 is good in December.

WB latest weeklies: lot of below normal temps leading up to Christmas still with normal precipitation.

WB latest weeklies. Cool and normal precip leading into Christmas. Does not look like a torch leading into the holidays this year.

Apparent temps: wind chills.

The big story for early next week will be the shot of cold air. Let's hope it is a sign of things to come. Seems like last several years it took forever to get any cold air into the mid Atlantic. WB EURO Tues am. apparent temps and anomalies... time to drain the outside spigots.

Latest WB EPS weeklies and control. Dreaming of a White Christmas.

DC Fox 5 winter outlook; reasonable forecast and good read. https://www.fox5dc.com/news/dmv-winter-2025-2026-outlook-above-average-snowfall-possible

Very gusty winds in Brunswind (Brunswick)

There are a few showers going through....leaf blowing warning in effect.

Severe Thunderstorm Warning MDC021-043-VAC107-WVC003-037-060245- /O.NEW.KLWX.SV.W.0376.251106T0156Z-251106T0245Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 856 PM EST Wed Nov 5 2025 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Washington County in north central Maryland... Frederick County in north central Maryland... Northwestern Loudoun County in northern Virginia... Jefferson County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... Berkeley County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... * Until 945 PM EST. * At 856 PM EST, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Rouzerville to Robinwood to near Williamsport to Greenwood, moving east at 50 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated and observed wind at Hagerstown Airport. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Frederick, Hagerstown, Martinsburg, Thurmont, Charles Town, Emmitsburg, Shepherdstown, Municipal Stadium, Harry Grove Stadium, Ballenger Creek, Purcellville, Robinwood, Brunswick, Walkersville, Fountainhead-Orchard Hills, Ranson, Boonsboro, Smithsburg, Inwood, and Braddock Heights.