Weather Will

WB 21Z NBM thru Day 2

WB 18Z GFS and EURO for midweek rain.

Looks like some spectacular, can I say late summer and early fall like weather for Th. And Friday... low dewpoints; and comfortable temps! Lows in the upper 50s in NW areas Friday am! WB 18Z EURO.

WB 6Z GFS and EURO rain for midweek.

Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sat Jul 18 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: 1. Northern Gulf of America and near Florida (AL91): Satellite images and surface observations indicate that a broad surface low is forming over the eastern Gulf of America. However, the associated winds remain light, and the showers and thunderstorms are still disorganized. Gradual development of this system is possible, and it could become a tropical depression while it moves slowly northward or north-northwestward during the next few days. Interests along the Florida Gulf coast, southern Alabama, and southwestern Georgia should monitor the progress of this system as it is expected to bring heavy rain to portions of that region during the next several days. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system on Sunday, if needed. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

Finally raining....about .3 so far...!

Lot of thunder and lightning but first storm went North and second storm with the tornado went south.

WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCHES 495/496 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 219 PM EDT SAT JUL 18 2026 MDC013-021-027-031-033-190100- /O.CAN.KLWX.SV.A.0496.000000T0000Z-260719T0100Z/ /O.EXA.KLWX.TO.A.0495.000000T0000Z-260719T0100Z/ THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH 495 UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING WHICH REPLACES A PORTION OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 496. THE NEW WATCH IS VALID FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN MARYLAND THE NEW WATCH INCLUDES 5 COUNTIES IN CENTRAL MARYLAND HOWARD MONTGOMERY PRINCE GEORGES IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND CARROLL FREDERICK THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF BALLENGER CREEK, BETHESDA, BOWIE, BOYDS, BUCKEYSTOWN, CLARKSVILLE, CLINTON, COLLEGE PARK, COLUMBIA, ELDERSBURG, FOUR CORNERS, FREDERICK, GAITHERSBURG, GAMBER, GERMANTOWN, GLENMONT, GREENBELT, HISTORIC ELLICOTT CITY, MONTPELIER, PARK MILLS, SILVER SPRING, SIMPSONVILLE, SUITLAND-SILVER HILL, TANTALLON, WESTMINSTER, AND WOODSTOCK.

WB latest EURO weeklies now go through the end of August.... warm and only wet in the mountain areas.

Early winter analog ideas from WB's D'Aleo: surprised by both maps actually...temps are cold and precip. is just normal.

Beautiful Day for a Walk Warning in Effect! Can't beat today in mid July,,,,,ENJOY!

WB 12Z EPS. Looks like a dry work week ahead.

Very light showers moved through. About .03.

1.30 for today. Over 3 inches for the month so far.

I don't know how reliable the Severe Weather Europe site is but like the read on the upcoming winter forecast for the polar vortex. https://www.severe-weather.eu/long-range-2/early-forecast-data-el-nino-polar-vortex-disruption-united-states-canada-europe-winter-2026-2027-fa/

Nice little rain falling. 4th day in a row with some rain. .09 today so far. 1.90 for month.

WB 6Z GFS and EURO through end of workweek.

Did receive some light rain before midnight. .30 for Tuesday.

I get it, but my forecast is for an 80% chance of rain....

Well, our flash flood watch is looking like a dud so far...what happened?

Flood Watch National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 409 AM EDT Mon Jul 6 2026 ...The combination of a slow moving frontal zone with a tropical air mass in place will increase the risk of flash flooding this afternoon and evening... DCZ001-MDZ003>006-008-011-013-014-016>018-503>508-VAZ027>031-037>040- 050-051-053>057-501-502-505>507-526-527-WVZ051>053-061615- /O.NEW.KLWX.FA.A.0005.260706T2000Z-260707T0400Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ District of Columbia-Washington-Frederick-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Cecil-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel- Charles-St. Marys-Calvert-Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford-Southeast Harford-Shenandoah-Frederick- Page-Warren-Clarke-Albemarle-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock-Orange- Culpeper-Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford- Spotsylvania-King George-Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier- Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun-Northern Virginia Blue Ridge- Northwest Prince William-Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson- 409 AM EDT Mon Jul 6 2026 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible. * WHERE...Washington D.C., including the following areas in Maryland, Anne Arundel, Calvert, Carroll, Cecil, Central and Southeast Howard, Central and Southeast Montgomery, Charles, Frederick, Northern Baltimore, Northwest Harford, Northwest Howard, Northwest Montgomery, Prince Georges, Southeast Harford, Southern Baltimore, St. Marys and Washington, Virginia, including the following areas, Albemarle, Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria, Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park, Clarke, Culpeper, Eastern Loudoun, Fairfax, Frederick, Greene, King George, Madison, Northern Fauquier, Northern Virginia Blue Ridge, Northwest Prince William, Orange, Page, Rappahannock, Shenandoah, Southern Fauquier, Spotsylvania, Stafford, Warren and Western Loudoun, and panhandle West Virginia, including the following areas, Berkeley, Jefferson and Morgan. * WHEN...From 4 PM EDT this afternoon through this evening. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Multiple rounds of heavy rainfall are possible this afternoon and evening, some of which may occur over areas which recently experienced flooding rains. Slow storm motions and repeat thunderstorm activity will occur within a tropical air mass. Hourly rainfall rates could push into the 2 to 3 inch range in the strongest storms, with even higher instantaneous rates. - Please visit www.weather.gov/safety/flood for flood safety and preparedness information PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

WB 0Z EPS is wet next two weeks.

1.3 last night; best rain in forever....another round of storms later this afternoon/evening. WB 6Z 3K NAM.

1.3 inches overnight. Hopefully more to come today.

Heavy downpours finally!!!!