Snowcrazed71

We pray.

Just the bases be how much the bottles are going back and forth with big differences. Not like the typical windshield wiper effect. Every time I feel confident that it's going to be something good for us, the next runs come out and they're not as good, today. Today they seem to be better again. I will feel like it's a toss-up with all of these bottles. Like they don't have any clue. It's just odd to me.

This even has NYC in on the action. Not sure about that one ( sorry MJO ), but I'd love to be wrong

Whoa!! Has the Canadian ever led the way or come close to being correct within a few days?

Wasn't that not a bad run for our area though on the GFS?

Lol, I think I will do better up on the mountain here in Plainville. Then Kev will in Tolland with that latest map.

Glad to see that the 18Z Euro help take some people off the Cliff's edge. Still some figuring out to do, but as I said, tomorrow will have a much better idea of what will happen.

But some are taking the GFS run, and the NAM run like that's the final result.

Don't get discouraged man. I feel like this has been a yo-yo ride. But there's no definitive answer on what's going to happen yet. Today's models were so all over the place. There's just no way to say which way it's going to go. I wouldn't worry or rejoice until later tonight's model runs.

I know it seems like the models are a bit inconsistent with where the main low will track. I think you're seeing them this evening splitting the lows because it's not sure exactly where they'll consolidate. I'm still thinking around the elbow of the cape is a good spot, I don't think it's going to be that far east just as I don't think it's going to be going into Connecticut. I do think that the 00z runs tonight, and even 12Z tomorrow should let us know what's going to happen. After that. It's just a bit of wiggle here and there. I hope that the storm this time gives everybody but they were hoping for all winter. And it has that potential to do so!!!!

How's it looking map wise? Are we even in the zone of Reggie yet?

Sorry George, no disrespect but I hope it's wrong. I actually don't think it's right anyway

Do you really believe that this is the outcome? Lol.... I'm not saying 100% this is not going to happen, but I would say 85% that this is not happening this way

Has anybody posted the snow map for the 18Z NAM?

Oh no, they have to take down the winter storm watches that they just put up for all of upstate New York and Western Mass /Litchfield county ( if you believe the NAM that is ). ;-)

Unless you want to put a lot of stock into the NAM being start of a trend going way east, I'm not so sure I'd go with this or worry about this.

They're playing the safety game. I almost guarantee they'll be watches up for most of Connecticut by the morning. They're probably just want to see a few more model runs tonight. Are they always behind what we see? Lol

I'd be very surprised if there's actually one storm going into Connecticut and another one off the coast. I think it's just not consolidating the two. My gut is it will and the temp issues won't be as much of an issue in Connecticut. But I guess we'll have to wait until we get closer lol. Either way, we will have a change from rain to snow and we should have a fairly decent amount anyway as it's a long duration storm. Even if we just get 6 in. It's still a lot of fun to track.

Sounds like Euro is your choice of the models or there. When you say hills, you just mean Northwest hills and the hills of tolland, or even some of the smaller hills in the Farmington area and areas to the east of the river?

Ryan.... Really hoping that we get one big guy to end this lame winter. Although my husband said to me today that he really hopes it's not that big because he has to drive into work at the hospital. I told him I'll dig a trail for him lol

So it seems like the icon and Ukie bring the higher snow totals into Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Vermont, where the GFS GEFS and Euro have the bigger totals from Massachusetts down into Connecticut. Hard to know who's going to be right, but I would hedge my bet on the bigger global models over the smaller ones. At this point. It's a wait and see for another day or so

I'm picking up here just north of 84 by a few miles. You should be looking good if these model still stay consistent with a real decent amount

I think this is a great call for now. Anything higher than that will be gravy. I do feel we have the potential to be higher. I'm in a weird spot where I'm just north of 84 and west of Hartford about 13 miles up just over 500'. Honestly, this is an exciting storm to track. Not only that, we didn't have much this year but in several years of tracking storms.

Also sorry to hear about your loss. Thoughts and prayers to you

Sorry.. I've seen this Korean model thrown out a few times this go around. Is it even a legit model to use? Precip map?