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Nash_LSU

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Everything posted by Nash_LSU

  1. Nash_LSU
    Checking in from next to the Nashville zoo. It's bad, yall. Real bad.
  2. Nash_LSU
    That's why I'm glad I have a gas water heater. I remember in 1994 that the shower was the only place you could get warm.
  3. Nash_LSU
    Probably like you, I have never in my life wished for a 33 degree rain, but here we are. Guess there's a first time for everything.
  4. Nash_LSU
    I don't know. The more things seem to be shaping up, the more I'm envious y'all will be getting rain. I'm sitting here with a 70% chance of getting >0.25" of ice on top of a layer of sleet that's on top of a layer of snow.
  5. Nash_LSU
    NBM is constantly adjusting it's model weights based on recent model verifications. " The National Blend of Models (NBM) weighs individual weather models by using statistical methods based on recent performance, primarily by minimizing Mean Absolute Error (MAE) against analyzed truth (URMA). Models with lower recent MAE get higher weights, but the system also uses bias correction (like quantile mapping) and can incorporate expert-derived weights, creating a more accurate composite forecast than any single model alone"
  6. Nash_LSU
    NBM is typically the wet blanket, but it's the one model holding out hope for this storm. There's still a chance for this one to come back to us.
  7. Nash_LSU
    If the NBM is still on board, so am I.
  8. Nash_LSU
    In the same vein, I have never once seen wunderground show me this much snow so close in. I don't normally put stock in wunderground precip total forecasts, but the wishcaster in me wants to this time.
  9. Nash_LSU
    They both sit on these things until it's obvious. I kind of get NashSevereWX's hesitancy as they are entirely social media based and crowd-funded, and when stuff doesn't go to forecast, they get absolutely hammered.
  10. Nash_LSU
    OHX is too busy trying to come up with some silly word-play social media post.
  11. Nash_LSU
    Dang, are we already cliff jumping?
  12. Nash_LSU
    My parents were at Tech that winter and they still talk about that winter to this day.
  13. Nash_LSU
    I understand ads. The site costs money to run. Have as man ads as you want. Just please don't block usability of the website. I can't do anything on mobile because the ad in the way of selecting Chrome. Does anyone know how to make it go away?
  14. Nash_LSU
    I'll take my chances on the NW side of a snow map any day of the week.
  15. Nash_LSU
    Approximately 6" so far by the Nashville Zoo. My 3 and 4 year old are pumped, to say the least. I'm right there with them. I'll get coffee'd up and grab a real measurement soon.
  16. Nash_LSU
    Another vote for Rufus.
  17. Nash_LSU
    Yeah, about time to put down the models and start looking out the window. Looks pretty sunny out of my window, but cold
  18. Nash_LSU
    I think it has potential to be pretty bad. If we get the snow as currently shown and the lows are as extreme as currently shown, it will kill people. Imagine impassable roads and a TVA plant or two going down. We saw it briefly in 2022, but this could last a little longer. This is everyone's reminder to check your generators now. If the models come to fruition, we need to be prepared and help our neighbors. Edtited to add: I don't want to come across as alarmist. I'm not. We just need to be ready for it. Luckily, we still have a few days to gather more data.
  19. Nash_LSU
    That was my thinking, too. Like, it's alright for us on weather message board to throw stuff out, but a news station in a large market is a different story. We get off on this kind of stuff, but we also know it may go poof tomorrow. That said, we're getting snow next week, dangit
  20. Nash_LSU
    We sacrificed a lot of bachelorettes to the snow gods. Like a lot.
  21. Nash_LSU
    I'm at a little over 3" by the Nashville zoo.
  22. Nash_LSU
    NAM likes to show us getting buried in snow in the 60-84 hour range. Beautiful clown maps that are good for daydreams of winter wonderlands, but they rarely materialize.
  23. Nash_LSU
    If that TWC outlook is as good as their February outlook, then assume the opposite that's shown.
  24. Nash_LSU
    I like every one of those individuals. Not often that happens.
  25. Nash_LSU
    That stretch of 24 is a nightmare on a good day. People go way too fast through there.
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