JustinRP37

At this point I'd take a rain shadow. It's too wet! This damn Seattle pattern is annoying.

What do you mean? The foothills aren’t tall enough for rain shadows etc.

If you are moving from the city stay in the east side of the river for your sanity if you are staying with your job in the city. We love Putnam county plus you can always see snow at Thunder Ridge and it is an easy commute to the city with no damn bridge.

I hereby name winter 2022-2023 the winter of Seattle. Just a boring, dreary winter. I have only worn my true winter coat about 4 times. Blame me for buying skis and a snowblower this year. Sigh.

At least I got to experience some tropical downpours this past week in the Caribbean. Same boring pattern here.

Exactly this! The oceans take up a ton of the carbon we put in the atmosphere. That is also why the pH of the ocean has steadily decreased since the Industrial Revolution, but also why warming was not seen early on. It is basically the same mechanism as a soda stream. You increase the CO2 above the water and it goes into the water forming our favorite carbonated beverages. I have attached an image I use in my climate lecture for my non-major students. You can see that natural forcings enough (the long-term forcings caused by our orbit and natural solar cycles) to attribute for our current warming, but the effects with natural + anthropogenic match up pretty darn well. Plus I have never understood how people can ignore the laws of thermodynamics when it comes to internal combustion. Energy can neither be created nor destroyed, yet some want to believe that billions of engines and furnaces all over the world burning fuel can't change the 'energy' in our system, which is earth's atmosphere. It really is mind boggling.

Well at least for the time being this record should be solidly safe... For now. Thanks!

Anyone know the record is for number of continuous nights above freezing in January? I'm curious. Driving by Thunder Ridge and it is BLEAK!

Unbelievable that we are so warm. I can't remember a winter where we have been ABOVE freezing even at night way up into the mountains of Vermont, New Hampshire, and Maine. Just stop with the, but this is only January 4th. People who depend on winter (aka most of the states just listed) are absolutely going to be hurting. Just take a look at the icecoast subreddit. We are seeing ski areas that are barely open in JANUARY!! Even if we turn sharply colder with no natural snow it will take a miracle to get these ski areas 100% open for MLK weekend. The bulk of money made for northeast ski season is literally right now through President's Day weekend. This is historically bad as they aren't even able to make snow right now. Luckily many areas did have a decent Christmas week, but things are bleak right now. Let's hope we can at least have freezing overnights as currently modeled.

Southern Taconics then haha. Too many to think about. Drove up to the Catskills today then back to Poughkeepsie. Last day off for my son before school tomorrow. He had his heart set on skiing this break... but alas can't count on Christmas skiing anymore.

Everyone can blame me this year buying a new snowblower AND new skis. That is the perfecta. Of course I will take credit should it turn around ;).

I’m turning off the boiler off tonight for tomorrow. We can save on oil and use space heaters if needed. Might even need AC to reduce the humidity… in January in the foothills of the Catskills.

And still too warm to make snow during the day even in the mountains. This is incredible for this time of year. Ski areas are doing their best but it is looking bleaker than any time I can remember.

It what strikes me is all the people just hoping for snow. How about we actually get snowmaking temperatures first? This ski season is off to a very dismal start. I do think we are in the decade we will start seeing some smaller areas close permanently due to the expense of relying fully in man made snow. This isn’t like the past anymore. It seems more and more that we need to thread the needle just to get decent snow making temperatures let alone snow. Then when even normal climatic conditions return we torch. It is frustrating.

I do not put much faith in any model over a week out. No model had this near historic heat coming just a few weeks ago, so middle of January flip a coin as to whether it will be warm or cold. I tend to think it will flip back to cold for another few weeks, but I do not think this is going to be a great winter. Just looking at the next week it will be hard to even make snow in Vermont, let alone how much the temps will chew at the already predominately man made base. I feel more and more each year for the smaller mountains having to charge astronomical rates just to cover the costs of covering the mountain in man-made snow. Even if we have a warm winter it would be nice to at least have 20 degree nights in the mountains to pump out the snow.

Ya’ll can blame me for the warm up. I bought new skis and a snow blower this year. The kiss of death for winter. I’m seriously depressed looking at early January but I have hope the warm up won’t be all that long. I’m we will be on a cruise in January so hopefully things reset.

They are looking okay. Only 6 trails open and not edge to edge coverage. It will be interesting to see how they hold up today and tomorrow. Whatever happens though, it will be bulletproof ice for Saturday and Monday. I used to mountain bike, but hopefully once my son is old enough I'll get back into it. Let me know if you are ever around here!

Good lord! Could you imagine walking into a store in a sweatshirt then walking back out into that?! These temperature drops are seriously impressive.

I know this is largely a rain storm coming in, but I am shocked we don't have a thread for the wind threat and temperature drop! This could be very impressive on those fronts. Glad to see local ski areas stockpiling snow though at the moment to hopefully push it out after the rain, but then it will turn to straight up ice.

I'm very much center, but it just baffling that physics and thermodynamics can be political. I always ask my students why wouldn't we want to be cleaner in the future. Also, we can't judge the past by what we know now because fossil fuels were very much key to getting us to this point, but now we do have the knowledge to have a more sustainable future.

I hope this does not get deleted because I do think it is important information. I am an ecologist that teaches both ecology and some climate science at a university. The amount of warming we are seeing right now is beyond what we have even seen in the past. People think in such short time scales. Even when you talk about 200,000 to 10,000 years those are massive time scales and yeah 4-8 degrees is huge (200,000 years is over 1,500 current human generations!). We are currently talking about 3-4 degrees in UNDER 300 years. The only major thing to change this fast is fossil fuel combustion. It seems so hard to fathom that the Model T will turn 115 years old next year. Think about what the world looked like just 115 years ago prior to the Model T. Further, for people born in the 1950s, there were just 2.5 billion people on the planet. We hit 8 billion just before Thanksgiving this year. Tremendous levels of growth at all scales. Physics CANNOT be denied. Energy can neither be created nor destroyed, yet some want to make it seem like combusting millions of tons of carbon by humans cannot possibly change and destabilize the climate. That is completely incorrect. Also, when you do see massive temperature swings on the planet they are usually around mass extinction events. Humans won't be around forever, but as it is now we have hardly been 'around' compared to the planet. Further something that a lot tend to gloss over is the ocean does store a lot of our carbon, which in turn leads to ocean acidification. We have already seen over a 30% increase in acidity of the ocean since the Industrial Revolution. This is putting a lot of stress on anything that creates a shell and also corals. The science is out there and it is not political in the least. It is literally simple physics from the laws of physics. Happy to discuss on other threads. As for climate factors worth studying. We do study them. We also have quite a few models that can model the climate based on atmospheric gases in the past. Currently, warming is not occurring faster than even some of the more aggressive models have forecasted.

Was there still smoke billowing out of the United Center from the smoking the Rangers gave the Blackhawks last night?

Idk about you but with the torches of past recent Christmases we actually fired up the grill a few times to cook the turkey outside while wearing shorts! I'd be happy with cold and maybe flurries.

Hoping to hit it up some evenings with my four year-old boy. He loved skiing last year. Been cool watching them blow snow all week. It is weird the older I get the more I love winter (I thought it was supposed to be the other way around). I just look forward to cold-crisp nights and mornings with the crunch of snow under your feet.

I'm off 311, not far from Thunder Ridge! We moved up in July. It is like living in Vermont but still having the benefits of trains to the city. It does feel like snow, and I'm shocked how well our 2.5 inch snow pack has held up. It is amazing working in the Bronx and coming home and seeing the huge differences in weather.