JakkelWx

Cranky is always right. I remember knowing everything he said about the march 21 snowstorm. Everybody was expecting widespread 1-2 feet when they should of known that the ratios just weren't gonna be 10:1. I wasn't expecting 8-12 inches like TWC said. Only around 3-6 and yes only 3-6 fell because of my knowledge from crankyweatherguy. One of the best weather bloggers out there.. Now in summer, back around June 20 that people were expecting a days long heatwave because "euro said so". Only ended up having 2 days above 90 here.

How does cooling subsurface magically squash chances of El Nino? Dude it's only August.

Why do they have the SLGT risk so far west? Soundings support severe weather all the way over here as well. CAPE also looks highest D.C and east as well. Not buying it right now.

Here come the high dews.

21z Wed sounding from near Greensboro MD Basically right near my home

SPC added a MRGL risk for the northeast for Wednesday AMENDED FOR ADDITION OF MARGINAL RISK FOR NORTHEAST U.S. ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong storms are possible across parts of the Northeast, the southern High Plains and over the upper Midwest. ...19z Day 3 Update... ...Portions of the Northeast... As mentioned in the previous discussion, confidence has increased that at least a Marginal risk of severe storms is possible across parts of the Northeast Wednesday afternoon and evening. Forecast guidance continues to show strong deep layer southwesterly shear expanding from the Carolinas into New England as the central U.S. shortwave lifts northeast. The severe threat continues to be somewhat conditional, as intensity will largely depend on pockets of stronger heating allowing sufficient destabilization. 12z 4km NAM indicates some discrete cells becoming linear with time extending from western and central NY into northern VA by late Wednesday afternoon. The GFS continues to be more conservative with destabilization compared to the NAM/ECMWF, but fast moving lines/clusters appear likely regardless. As such, a Marginal risk has been added for at least isolated strong/locally damaging wind potential Wednesday afternoon into the nighttime hours.

Already got a cell in SE Wyoming with 50,000 feet echo tops per radarscope. 70 DBZ+ sigs on radar. Edit as of 4:02: Confirmed tornado. Tornado Warning for... Northwestern Kimball County in the Panhandle of Nebraska... Northeastern Laramie County in southeastern Wyoming... * Until 230 PM MDT. * At 156 PM MDT, a confirmed tornado was located over Gun Barrel, or 29 miles northeast of Cheyenne, moving southeast at 40 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado and hail up to two inches in diameter. SOURCE...Emergency Management confirmed tornado near mile marker 45 of US highway 85. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * The tornado will be near... Burns around 220 PM MDT.

Today's average temperature here is 1 degree cooler than yesterday.. i can definitely notice the sun is setting earlier now. Just 2 more days and we're in August.

Only 0.03''...bad excuse for a severe thunderstorm watch and a FFW. And it also looks like we're done here for the evening...

Most cells are away from me. Atmosphere might destabilize again for a second round, the sun is out. Temp already up to 85/72.

Only a trace so far.

Raining lightly here. no storms except the one that formed just north. Haven't heard any thunder the past couple minutes. Baltimore is getting Geostorm'd....

Hearing rumbles. Storm is now blowing up and is 5 miles from my house..

New cell popped up just NW of me it's getting dark over there..

Outflow boundary showing up on KDOX... coming west towards me. Still no good development though, so meh. Gotta wait ehyy?

Severe thunderstorm watch incoming for D.C and Baltimore and all of the eastern shore of MD and DE... Lots of billowing clouds out there. The atmosphere is a loaded potato.

Atmosphere definitely unstable. Seeing pileus clouds on top of one of the many cumulus clouds strewn about my backyard view out east..

KDOX radar finally back up.

My nearest PWS. Near Goldsboro MD but i use the one from Greensboro MD... KMDGREEN11 But yes, it is like Dubai, lol. Gross and uncomfortable out

Already got a cluster of towering cumulus. Although they are falling apart as they reach a certain height, it's a good sign for severe later. 88 degrees DP 77 RH 68%.

TWC highlighted that there could be a bullseye for severe weather from D.C to Baltimore, because of a southerly flow from the southeast and the jet stream from the west. Edit: D.C to Philly, including baltimore. Along the Mid-Atlantic part of the I-95 big cities.

Yes it is. Plenty chances for heat and humidity. After about 2 weeks, the window for mid to upper 90s starts to close by at least Mid-August as it gets harder to achieve with waning insolation each day. We are just about to the last 2-3 weeks of the dog days

Staring out the window at the moon through minimal clouds. Also listening to Moonlight sonata by Beethoven, good combo.

Another problem at KDOX... Come on now. NOUS61 KAKQ 140141 FTMDOX Message Date: Jul 25 2018 21:13:50 TECHNICIANS HAVE REPLACED THE MOTORS, HOWEVER THEY CONTINUE TO HAVE PROBLEMS WIT H ANTENNA CONTROL. THEY ARE CURRENTLY TROUBLESHOOTING THE PROBLEM. Ever since KDOX radar has been down the radar coverage has been crappy. But i will totally bank on it that it will be up sometime tomorrow.

I'm drinking melted snow and tears from last winter.