JakkelWx

After the 21st of September, the 15 day TWC forecast has my area getting only into the mid-upper 70s. Think pattern change starts around the first day of fall.

Who wants a hurricane when you can just eat a payday candy bar? They're the best. Bought 2 whole boxes of 24-count today.

Goldsboro, MD, circa 2018 hurricane florence, never forget

Come again when you can't stay quite so long...

It's not going to hit NY

So HWRF thinks Mangkhut is 300 mph?

Eskimo Joe still says "weak sauce".

Sustained 25 kt winds with gale-force gusts to 45 kt. ~ 20 kt higher at the Delaware coastline. Goldsboro, MD. Convergent fetch from the high pressures stalling this thing way south and winds from Florence.

End last week of my 10 day TWC's forecast in the low-mid 70s for highs. Looks like the 80's are done for the rest of the summer into fall. Already seeing pictures of fall foliage in some spots in New England. It's coming!

For fun, 18z GFS reforms Florence after 9 days and then slams into GA/FL border after 300 hours. Miami totally in play. Evacuate southern GA in advance, better safe than sorry.

The impacts given model consensus south of the OBX mean hardly anything interesting up here in Goldsboro MD.

This isn't our storm... I'm gonna stick with my 20 mph wind gusts and call them "TS force gusts".

Since storm mode thread was posted, i'm gonna just lurk. I've had some problems with posting too much yesterday. I acknowledge that storm mode is a very serious thread and involves tracking a dangerous/deadly hurricane which has to potential to cause significant loss of life and destruction of property. Therefore i'm gonna take it seriously. I think it's better to just lurk when you're very new and have less than 500 posts and learn from other posters.

There's a storm mode thread now. Some wonder if stormtracker looks like his profile picture in real life...

Won't need to go out to the liquor store to get some beer. I still have some homebrew I made from earlier this year in the outside kegerator to ride out the storm.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RnWwfF2k5NY OCMD getting really hammered by the coastal flooding brought on by high tide and the strong fetch off the east. Water up to the boardwalk.

The rain ending abruptly north of NYC bears uncanny resemblance to winter storms. High pressure suppressing the rain's advance north, similar to snowstorms. North of White Plains is a fringe job. Looks like a death band ripping over eastern PA.

In case you missed it, there was a waterspout on video on the Chessy bay this morning near norfolk. https://wtkr.com/2018/09/09/waterspout-spotted-off-hrbt/

No, I'm middle aged. Sorry if i acted like i was 14 years old, sometimes people slip. I'll post better to the best of my ability, and if i can't, i'll just read and not post.

18z GFS at 0 hours the same as the 12z at 6 hours. Interesting trend. Wow, people getting so serious that i posted in the wrong thread by accident. Calm down and stop taking the bait.

Tornado warning for York county possible waterspout. ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 AM EDT FOR EAST CENTRAL YORK COUNTY... At 1115 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado or waterspout was located near Chesapake Bay northeast of Seaford, and is nearly stationary. HAZARD...TORNADO. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Expect damage to mobile homes, roofs, and vehicles. This dangerous storm will be near... Seaford around 1130 AM EDT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.

BREAKING: Florence. Stay tuned for updates. Peak wind speed: 900 mph.

Hurricane florence is clearly gonna smoke Baltimore by bombing out in the chesapeake bay near norfolk into a category 5 hurricane by making a b-line towards Baltimore. Damage will be unprecedented.

Never felt so cold walking outside this evening in like 5 months! What a relief. Casually raining lightly the whole day, 0.7'' Rain so far. Temp down to 64

Time for a snarky post The italian spaghetti models are initializing for florence