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Posts posted by Malacka11
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6 minutes ago, andyhb said:
Got a couple of cells going up SE of Kansas City. Lead shortwave appears to be impinging on the warm sector.
In terms of actual impact what would this mean?
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Up to five flipped semis now
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3 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:
always nice too see board member out having fun
Appreciate you big guy, hopefully I manage to find something worth posting
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Dude that cell near Rochelle was legit as it passed overhead. The greenest clouds I've ever seen, the whole sky was one writhing mass. One semi almost tipped over right in front of us, a mile down the road one was on its side.
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Tipped semis on 88
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Just hitting the road, the "first Tuesday of the month" siren just deafened us from right across the road. Foreshadowing much?
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1 minute ago, brianc33710 said:
So for Day 1 do we have 2 MODS, 1 big MOD, 1 HIGH & 1 MOD, or 2 HIGHS? I'll go with 2 MODS but will fully admit I thought the SPC HIGHS were an overreaction Friday. I wish I had been right.
I'll go with two mods too
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The RRFS looks a whole lot better too. Still west but with a whole squad of beefy discrete cells.
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FV3 still holds with a couple of good storms along the border.
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2 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said:
Yeah, I agree on that.
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3 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said:
That was initial thinking but now looking like the trough is ejecting more slowly.
Yeah I'm just starting to catch on to that. Oopsies
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FWIW, the RRFS A is up and running again. its 12z run had what discrete cells do fire in Central IA rather than closer to the border.
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D-. Only reason it isn't a fucking E is because we got a white Christmas out of it, which means a lot to me. Tempted to lower it anyway just because of how badly we got baited with that event. Don't even get me started on the rest of the farce that was this winter.
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26 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said:
Not really keen on a west of I-35 target after working 3AM-noon. Was one of the things that made Friday a no-brainer go for me.
I thought roughly the same area is in play tomorrow?
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Still dunno what to think for tomorrow. DVN and the SPC are both fairly optimistic that shit's gonna go down but the fact that we still don't really know when convection might actually occur -combined with the fact that fast storm motions may result in trash chasing conditions- makes me question whether it's worth driving around for half a day straight. Normally I don't really make a decision either way until the morning of an event but I'm supposed to take a couple of friends along and it would be nice to have a plan for them.
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8 minutes ago, Kaner88 said:
Really enjoyed LOT's morning AFD, gets into some of the juicy modeling stuff:
The previous/current severe episodes have prompted me to read the discussions of other offices a little more often and LOT is quite literally on another level. It's just so obvious that they simply hold themselves to a higher standard witht their discussions. They are far more descriptive and easier to understand for a beginner while also being more informative and in-depth overall.
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1 minute ago, brianc33710 said:
Concerns me that the potential for a more extensive & violent outbreak has returned. I apologize for not making that more clear.
I see. You're all good, I figured that's what you meant but feared that I might be jumping the gun due to my own eagerness to chase. Cheers
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1 minute ago, brianc33710 said:
The SPC didn't mention the possible inhibiting factors they mentioned in previous update. That concerns me.
Concerns you as in "??" or as in "oh shoot, this might actually be a substantial threat after all"?
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How's the new Euro looking then?
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How are storm motions looking right now for this threat? Are they going to be as wack as Friday or even a little bit slower? I know people were saying that it was gonna be shit again for chasing but
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Seriously props to you guys. Absolutely world class footage. If I saw something like that for the first time my pics and vids would look like ass compared to the cinematic stuff you guys managed to produce
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1 minute ago, largetornado said:
0z nam rolling in. Looks like a shift west
The NAM was massively west with yesterday too if I remember right no?
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@Chicago Storm How'd it go?
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Severe Weather 4-4-23 and 4-5-23
in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Posted
In Iowa now. Just gonna have to wait and see.