Malacka11

15 minutes ago, mimillman said:

Sidewalks very slick downtown. Can only imagine what it’s like at home 

I almost ate shit about five times so far today

On 1/19/2024 at 12:18 AM, Brian D said:

I put big pics into Paint, then resize. Then save as gif to reduce from MB to KB. Look just fine when I post them here. Same with NWS story boards, that are many times 1-2 MB png.

This is the knowledge I've been searching for for years. Thanks king

Keeping it $1.50 with yall if I had to choose between another couple weeks of actual winter or getting the lake comfortably swimmable ASAP... I think unless the former actually delivers something historic, I'd have to choose the latter. Just feeling a little blue-balled still like @Baum said. 

Crazy how 23° feels like 65° after having to wear my dad's old army-issued snow onesie that I finessed years ago on dog walks the last few days

If we could just keep a bit of the snowpack somehow that would be swagallicous but alas

Consider this a bonus round if it actually pans out decently. Just please not the fgen close miss north then south or some shit like LOT mentions 

It's snowing pretty decently here (albeit with smaller flake size) under the tiniest queef of a radar return so I can only imagine that it's coming down decently out west

3 minutes ago, ChiTownSnow said:

Nobody kill me..(I know we all have been begging for a GLC).  But I miss the guarantee of a clipper.  One of those hybrid west to east overperformers with a gulf/Pac connection 

That's exactly what I'm saying. I have only fond memories of them

5 minutes ago, DocATL said:

I’m not sure though because it really loses its punch pretty quickly on the backside.


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That's my fear too. Just enough to dust everything is satisfactory in my book. 

3 minutes ago, DocATL said:

An inch or two tops overnight. NWS says things dry out for most of the evening.


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Shit, I would be giddy with a wind-whipled inch, let alone two, to freshen things up again real quick before the hard freeze. I'd take that and runnn

Looks like if we're lucky, maybe someone gets a chance at squeezing something out of a clipperish thang next Thursdayish. Hopefully no mixing issues with that 

Unless I'm missing something, precip looks to end mostly around here within the next two hours. Maybe some backside snow overnight, and it's a wrap. It's nice that the morning thump actually delivered; it's the only thing keeping this storm from being an L instead of just an L. 

Just now, mimillman said:

We are still RN- here

Same but it gives me hope, likely misplaced ofc

Is the changeover being shown down south legit or just a blip?

1 minute ago, Roger Smith said:

Latest thoughts ... Rather slow improvements will return to n IL as n.w. lobe of dual low is slowly robbed of warmth, better snow rates will return to Chicago after 6 pm and peak around midnight as wind backs to NE then NNE. Further south in IL, done for a while then picks up to moderate snow and blowing snow around 7-9 pm. ... Northern IN holds on to heavy wet snow for a while, dry slots, brief rain/snow mix, eventually N to NW winds bring in lake effect after midnight, blizzard conditions for a while SBN to La Porte. 

Into w Michigan, slow saturation of surface layers will result in gradual irregular increase in rates until S+ by the time primary low is near FWA and secondary is near s end of Lake Michigan late afternoon-evening, then periods of S+ merging eventually with SW+ from lake effect by morning. That will be the general scenario east to Jackson-Ann Arbor, interval of heavy wet snow likely in Detroit around 5-7 pm and after that intermittent light snow with brief moderate snowfall in decaying lake effect. 

Wisconsin, apart from some mixing issues at lakefront south of Racine-Kenosha, will get into bands of heavy snow separated by light to moderate, slowly accumulating to reach 12-15 in totals. Winds will increase from northeast and at least blizzard conditions in open rural areas if not all areas. N lower Michigan will rock as discussed in thread.

Don't see total bust for MSP but 1-2" blowing around in very cold wind, instead of 4-6" not all that different, would not want to be out in it by tonight (at my location, crystal clear and -8 F at 9:30 PST). 

Toronto area I would agree with what I read earlier, 5-10 cm this evening, snow, sleet and/or ice pellet showers could include thunder. 

For many in IL it will be a case of two storm periods and a long pause lasting rest of daylight hours but part two could be quite intense as well. Gradient around secondary low tightens rapidly after about 21z.  

I'll take what you're selling gladly but I'm a little skeptical of much accumulation later

3 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said:

I have some sort of precip falling, but through the window I cannot tell if it is rain or sleet. 

Drizzling slightly over here. If whatever precip does develop overhead falls as not rain that'd be great 

2 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

Cromartie's revenge 

I mean in a twisted sort of way I suppose it's our revenge no

Precip starting to blossom rather rapidly downstream. Would be nice to fill in the hole, maybe keep some snow going for a little while longer. The western dry edge has reached us now but there's some impressive stuff a little south that might be trying to veer off just long enough to clip us again. Winds are still strong, you know the house crunching shakey type.

I'm no expert but it looks like the dry spot is already starting to saturate a bit

Winds are absolutely howling here 

Closing in on 4" over here

Idk how later in the day will go but I have not experienced a snow that feels like this since probably GHD I? Like you know when you look out the window and it's not just that it's snowing hard, it's literally like a Rottweiler on sarms is grinning back at you?

Got up all hyped to look at these weenie returns out the window but my window is literally covered in snow. Looks wild though. If it could just do this for the next 18 hours that would be swag

The old Gyro is back SE 

From LOT

 

.UPDATE...
Issued at 955 PM CST Thu Jan 11 2024

The winter storm is now on our doorstep this evening as we
continue to monitor upstream trends. Impressive dynamics over a
large footprint across the central CONUS are becoming evident via
radar and satellite imagery with a blossoming baroclinic leaf
across the MO/mid-MS valleys and rapidly developing convection
across OK/AR. The congealing area of both custers of upstream
convection will align well with substantial moisture transport and
deep isentropic ascent into the CWA concurrent with a contracting
low to mid-level baroclinic zone late tonight into mid-morning
Friday. A resulting impressive F-Gen signal with slowing northward
extent combined with 7C/km 700-400 hPa lapse rates yields some
concern that 1-2"/hr snowfall will become common within the precip
shield well into Friday morning. The embedded convective elements
within the precip shield (and perhaps a stray rumble of thunder
south of the Chicago metro) supports increasing forecast snowfall
totals through at least late morning Friday. The incoming 00Z CAM
suite is in surprisingly good agreement that 1hr QPF rates will
reach 0.1-0.2" per hour for several hours into the Chicago metro
between 4-9am. Even with SLR values potentially as low as 5-7:1,
snowfall totals of 3-5" of very wet snow would not be surprising
in just a few hours.

No changes to headlines were made with the updates as the bulk of
increase in the snowfall forecast is within the ongoing Winter
Storm Warnings. But we will continue to highlight the potentially
very hazardous morning commute across all of northern Illinois and
especially within the Chicago metro.

Kluber