Malacka11

1 hour ago, cyclone77 said:

Clippers are just to occupy us between the dogs lol

I think we also all took it for granted when we were clipperposting previously that such patterns usually don't have staying power issues because it's inherently a deep winter concept to the vibe-driven amateur. That's half of why everyone shit bricks so hard when the snow rug literally melted out from under our feet a few weeks ago.

Is there any chance that this business on Monday could work out to be half an event for someone? Or just a total mirage?

4 hours ago, A-L-E-K said:

Return 

insane detail and shadow work

It's insane what people can accomplish with paint. I am decent with a pen but you just can't recreate sunlight contrast quite as well as with oil, and it's nearly impossible to make a scene seem genuinely life-like without properly representing even the smallest patches of sun. These are astounding, the way they capture natural lighting even better than a camera can.

Someone w some cash to burn should acquire one of those fake snow systems that ski resorts use and see what happens. Maybe we can reverse-psychology ma nature into putting up finally... or you can pay my block a visit, it works out either way.

16 minutes ago, Radtechwxman said:

Nice unexpected weenie band here now. Dumping nice dendritic snow. 

It's your moment 

52 minutes ago, Baum said:

Ground zero

Finally, shitposting I can get behind

Guys wait we can't sulk up the northern sub gangs thread. 

This is your moment enjoy it guys 

Wait till we lay another 10" the next five days and then it torches till Christmas 

Very nice calm before the storm weather today

Wild how nonchalantly we stumbled into maps like this. Like Alek mentioned, the decent antecedent conditions for once is cool and something I'd willingly accept in lieu of better ratios later on.

It's either giving bait or ghd2 I can't quite decide 

13 minutes ago, migratingwx said:

EPS mean also went up since the 18z run.

00z vs 18z below

Doing jah's work with these wbell posts

No stop you're supposed to be depressing quit it before this autistic obsession actually becomes enjoyable again 

Good runs on both the gfs and gem

11 minutes ago, Radtechwxman said:

GFS still not playing nice on 18z

It's definitely at least a slight reversal though, right? I would say (just looking at my blues and greens ofc) that the front end of this threaded event looks a bit stronger and the possible follow-up event is also back. The overall synoptic evolution looks somewhat closer to what other models are showing. Combined with what chi storm was saying that's good enough for me

2 minutes ago, WestMichigan said:

I see the AI model referenced frequently.  Is this publicly available or behind a paywall?

If it's at all helpful, I know that Tropical Tidbits offers some euro AI data with Pivotal Weather having a more extensive selection of publicly available products, including basic snowfall output for the euro AI and maybe its ensemble. 

https://beta.pivotalweather.com/models/ecmwf_aifs/sn10_acc-imp/conus?run=2025112412&forecastHour=156

@A-L-E-K How is it

Looks pretty good out there over the layke atm

Moved east almost to the border of cook and dupage. Obv still not near ground zero but it would be cool to get in on something. Maybe if round 1 does okay this far inland and then the band drifting down from the WI border also makes it to us for a bit, we could get the ground full white for the afternoon. Congrats Alek/downtown gang, mclovin it for you

With how the tools available to the most amateur precip output model watchers have improved the last few years, it would be great to get to actually track something worthwhile again

49 minutes ago, Geoboy645 said:

Fortunately there are several indications that we are about to end up in a much more active pattern potentially starting next week. And with a still well-above average Gulf, could get interesting here for storms. The fact that, unless something stupid happens, we are going to have a Gulf like that with no TCs to cool it down before storm season kicks up is going to make things interesting for moisture availability the next couple months imo.

Finally someone throws a fucking bone around here thank you

Kind of thankful to get a chance to do it again because I'm not exaggerating when I say my backyard got split by probably less than a couple kilometers both east and west. 

Looks like a decent hit incoming 

Dude wow that's beautiful 

I was kind of salty about having to mow the lawn after it rains all afternoon but hoo boy does it feel fucking way better out there now