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Malacka11

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Posts posted by Malacka11

  1. Maybe I'm squinting at it too hard but it looks like the passage of the evening QLCS is bumping earlier instead of later, which I'd love to see it with even half a lux of sunlight left. Also:

    .UPDATE...
    Issued at 1015 AM CDT Fri Apr 17 2026
    
    There is a trailing boundary extending south from ongoing
    convection across the Minneapolis area.  This boundary may be
    an initial source for forcing as it spreads towards northern
    Illinois in the mid afternoon time frame. The airmass is still
    stable per the extensive area of billow clouds across Iowa,
    however we have noted a significant uptick in the dewpoints out
    ahead of this feature. Instability progs would suggest by the
    time this boundary arrives northern Illinois should destabilize,
    and thus there at least some concerns for a leading round of
    convection, which could be in the form of supercells with an all
    hazard threat. Some questions still exists as to whether this
    will just graze the local area or continue to push closer to the
    Chicago metro area. There is a shortwave across Missouri that
    also slide through the area ahead of the cold front which could
    be a mechanism to keep convection farther east, so this will be
    a mesoanalysis focus in the coming hours. Limiting factors for
    this first round convection having a larger footprint would be
    that the forcing is a bit more subtle, and we still have a
    fairly deep dry layer ahead of this boundary.
    
    Regardless of this, low level flow will reintensify ahead of
    the cold front which should help to keep instability up into the
    evening hours, where a damaging wind threat would be the
    highest concern, along with a QLCS tornado threat. Thoughts from
    the morning AFD still tell the story quite well.
    
    KMD
    • Like 3
  2. 48 minutes ago, frostfern said:

    If only there was a wiki on Alek-speak.  My favorites are “dab” and “jelly”.  

    Fr he's always set the standard. I think it's just a Simpsons reference fwiw having done some googling

    • 100% 1
  3. 48 minutes ago, cmillzz said:

    he’s implying we’re going back into a cold and wintry pattern, which isn’t true at all aside from a couple brief, seasonal cool shots.

    That part I got, I meant literally what is "smarch" a combination of if morch is march+torch

    • Like 1
  4. 5 minutes ago, Chicago916 said:

    Was driving around tons of flooded streets in Lincoln Park and Avondale earlier. Going to be a literal icerink out there tomorrow. If only someone could have cleared all of the crap from the sewer drains to prevent it...

    This is what my parking lot looks like atm. The tornado intercept shitbox is sitting right outside frame also partially submerged. This does happen every time it rains somewhat hard apparently.

     

    IMG20260315223604.jpg

  5. We actually changed over here in westmont atm. Heavy pixie dust still but at least it's changed over. Don't really expect to be on the right side of the band tonight but just getting the grass white for the cold is swag

  6. Will certainly be a fun 24 hours. See how long it'll take gusts to start, hoping for  some good GV storms maybe in a few hours, and I'd love to reel in some surprise death band tomorrow morning with winds but not holding onto that one ofc. Would love to see it happen though

    • Like 1
  7. If we're getting one more semi decent clipper in a few days then covering the grass with this one first would be cool. Ik I was talking big game about 12" or leave it but I hadn't fully processed that we could have one more mini winter period if we just get enough to stack at least

     

    Especially with the cold that comes part and parcel might as well play pretend one more time before next year

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