Malacka11

21 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

gonna be more than 12 hours to know that.

the upcoming pattern is the epitome of a thread the needle type pattern for anything interesting.

Can I zelle you to start dropping an opinion here and there so that I can stop myself before saying something ignorant

To clarify though, I was referring strictly to the likelihood of whatever trend we might have here still being there tomorrow at all, not whether it still existing tomorrow would mean anything concrete.

3 minutes ago, DocATL said:

As much as I hate to disturb a pity party, the system for next Tuesday/Wednesday bears watching. Goofus wants to throw us a bone in northern Illinois. Slows the wave outbid the southwest down enough to catch some cold air.


.

Hopefully in 12 hours we'll know if we're getting shit posted on or if there's actually any chance. Not falling for it that easy. I think the trend is there to some degree on other models too but I'm pretty sure that's happened the last two times as well

Can we, like, all agree to take up knitting or something? I'm getting really tired of being in an emotionally abusive relationship with fucking clouds.

No shit Sherlock but looks like if we do get another chance at a phase, like usual, it'll depend on the system before it over next weekend

58 minutes ago, Stevo6899 said:

It's east to be skeptical when there hasn't been a big time winter storm, at least imby, for 5 winters.

I'm right there with you, king. My last decent storm was early February of 2021, but it was really just 10" of concrete that fell fairly unremarkably. It was a good snow for sure, but never supposed to be a big dog type of situation. The last actual dawg was for sure GHDII, but totals aside, that storm wasn't really a nuke either, of course. GHDI is the first and only "real shit" blizzard I've ever experienced (moved here from Germany in 2008), and I'll be biding my time until whenever a storm matches it. It's hard to grasp the rarity of a storm like that when one happens after just a couple years of living somewhere.

"Looking out beyond day 7 into the 2nd week of December, the large scale pattern may become supportive of a larger, moisture laden storm system somewhere in the Midwest. Needless to say, this idea is subject to change, though has some ensemble support and we`ll be keeping an eye on it. Chances for any widespread noteworthy accumulating snow and travel impacts are low until a pattern change can occur.

Castro"

2 minutes ago, madwx said:

Power plant by Portage, Wisconsin is causing a nice band of snow downwind 

That's actually so cool

@A-L-E-K You do be spitting facts for sure but if there's an event later at least maybe the lake won't sabotage it for you no? 

7 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

12z runs coming in zzzzzz

sad

At least maybe we can finesse a clipper before the cold settles in? Ik I'm reaching but 

18z OP GFS wasn't all the way there yet but the ensemble looks better again

Me waiting for somebody to finally hope post after the euro

We're so back

GEFS looks a little better overall too. At least generally supportive of it maybe snowing for someone, which you got to be grateful for what you get these days

It would be great if we could finesse our way back to something especially this close out suddenly

30 minutes ago, sbnwx85 said:

Love the optimism. You can tell it's early in the season.

True but also smooth-brained optimism is kind of my schtick because I refuse to let some clouds dictate my disposition like that. Last year cooked me though not gonna lie. 

Also real shit I saw the Icon had already come in with something fairly decent so I thought I'd shoot my shot

I think full hope in the Thxgiving storm will be restored w tonight's runs

29 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said:

Ah ok. Trended away from here lol. But it is nice to see RELATIVE consistency with the models days out. Hopefully a sign!

Yeah, it'll be fun to see how things hold together for what hopefully stays a legit chance around Thanksgiving

20 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said:

Just curious, what trend are you alluding to? That the models dont lose a system?

That, as well as it trending very well for mby and the ceiling slightly creeping up too, at least locally. 

Also hoping this first event is setting a trend and not just burning through our luck here in chi-land

Between the Euro updates, the new gif reactions, and actually having shit to watch before mid January this winter is already off to a good start in the gradebooks 

Love to see (with my exceedingly amateur eyes) that maybe if there's an event or two somewhere in the subforum over the next few weeks, it's at least possible that there will be a little more cold air to work with than last year's screw over events

29 minutes ago, Frog Town said:

Not often you see a dry slot and warm tongue with this orientation!!

 

Seeing the Euro in TT's precip type view is like something out of one of those deja vu/dream moments where you think you're losing it. Can't believe the day has actually arrived 

We did end the last winter with the revelation that the Euro comes out somewhat quicker now, right? Or am I losing my marbles?

As long as it doesn't mean we can lock in fuck all for DJF, sounds good to me