Holston_River_Rambler

EPS member 16 at day 14 FTW:

Welcome Blue Moon!

Honestly I just saw “volcanic winter” and thought: ahh some good banter fodder. For myself, I just don’t know what I think. Not necessarily just about that tweet thread, but about this winter. I still feel burnt out after all the models showed the epic pattern shifts in the long range last winter only to evaporate as we got closer to verification time. Not sure I am ready for serious speculation yet and the time sink that entails. and to be fair, this whole year has kind of been a drain. For my part, at least for now, I’m in a “see where the tropical convection decides to set up,” and go from there mode.

Good question. I would like to think it means more aerosols of the kind that would lead to more snow for me, but given my experience with masiello, he probably means it in a strict academic sense that doesn't necessarily mean anything like it. I put it here since I’m not sure how he means it or what it would mean for us, but ya know, I gots to have hope, lol.

I think you and I got under the band o' doom with this one, lol. Pouring all AM here.

Man, I thought leaves peaked a couple of weeks ago, but at least here on Morgan County, I was wrong: https://imgur.com/a/r71NVoZ

Oh yeah, oh yeah, ya gotta believe: And there's at least one, count em one, EPS member, that shows at last 2 inches of snow in Middle TN, so Lock. It. In. Happy we're back to fantasy storm season

My neighbor's rain gauge/ weather station went out, so no clue how much more rain we got here. Zeta was booking it though, so probably not as much as yesterday.

Man the rain is almost as fun as snow at this point. 3.09 inches and a river in my yard for the dogs to waller in.

Really interested to see how @John1122 has fared today. It just keeps pouring here.

It was from the 26th, but I went back and looked and didn't see much more than a little line of showers: I guess they could have been convective, but still such a weird/ cool cloud pattern.

Tropical Storm warnings into parts of our CWA:

I wasn't really looking forward to the rain, but now the season stream in my front yard is roaring again, lol. My wife and I dug it out and landscaped in and around it, so I'm happy it's back. My larger dog (TROWAL dog) may have flopped in the deeper section of it and gotten pinched by a crawdad! Nearby weather station is up to 2.5 inches, we may hit 4 before it's all over

Weird cloud formations on satellite yesterday in the eastern Valley. Maybe some subsidence caused that?

Another tropical system. More humidity. Yay

Sorry for the jumpiness, I am still a little rusty this year. EPS member 8 FTW.

Didn't we watch this same pattern show back in early September? We thought we were getting a front through and CO ended up with a big early season snow. But after that, fronts did start to make it through again. And hey, we've had some pretty good blocking for at least the first half of the month. Maybe we have just a normal crappy La Nina this year and not and Epic Crappy La Nina?

That's inspirational Stovepipe! We have 31 GEFS members this season; I have not yet begun to gif!

Glad I was out of town in Boone and couldn’t watch, lol.

Still in the low 50s at noon. This airmass is chilly.

O ho ho, fantasy storm on the 6z GFS: Annnddddd look what happens if you suspend disbelief and pick the best ratio: What's the Euro going for at that time (doesn't quite go out that far) you might ask... Will we have the perfunctory Halloween-La Nina snow to accompany Jeff's Halloween cold front?

Couldn't resist: Sorry Jeff

The end of the 6z run this AM looking pretty nippy too. Snow showers and low 20s for higher elevations. Almost time to start looking at 50 EPS members for true weenie runs, lol.