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BhamParker

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Everything posted by BhamParker

  1. BhamParker
    Man, sunday night and monday morning is getting a little sneaky. Canadian and GFS are very close it seems like. I am hoping for a surprise in the mountains in Gatlinburg this weekend. We will be leaving Monday around lunch. 9 of 20 members from the GEFS have 1 inch of snowfall in Knoxville, so maybe they are sniffing something out. EPS will be interesting at 12z
  2. BhamParker
    Latest NAM seemed to have a much better orientation as far as precipitation goes. It extended further south and appeared to still be doing well at hour 84. It is the long rane nam, but I would imagine that would be a trend we want to see more of.
  3. BhamParker
    Seeing this weekends system dwindle away has been tough, but I am more than happy to make it back to back trips if next weekends storm can trend well. Heck, some of the looks I am seeing on both the GFS and Euro would not take a lot of tweaking to get my home state in on some action. I have plenty of travel miles saved up, so I will stay tuned.
  4. BhamParker
    This one is off Ski Mountain road near Ober Gatlinburg, right by Cove mountain. We stayed right near here in Feb of 2018 the weekend of the super bowl and picked up 2 inches while most of the areas below me didn't receive a thing.
  5. BhamParker
    Lol, I sure hope it happens. I did notice the GEFS now has all members with some sort of snow falling. I'll be hanging onto this one as long as I can. I will never forget staying up in a cabin Christmas of 2010 in wears valley. It rained most of the morning, but then changed over to a wet snow and we received 1-2 inches but it did not stick to the streets or anything. I remember staying up that night thinking it was over and the snow started falling and it snowed most of the night that night with temps well below freezing. I woke up the next morning and we probably had 5-6 inches of snow and it stuck to everything. It was amazing. I remember looking at the radar and the snow literally was just lined up along the mountains and nowhere else. I am guessing it was a true NW flow snow that night and I never will forget it. I am sure many of you remember the Christmas 2010 snow. I know that this is nothing like that, but I would just be thrilled to see things get white up and around our cabin. This will be the 5th time I have chased the snow up there and I have never been truly shutout. One time I only received about .5 inch, but it was still pretty. The other big dog I chased was January 23, 2016 and we probably got 6-8 inches during that one and it was awesome. I felt like I jumped the gun a little early after 00z Monday, but I won't go down without a fight. I will be here to share it with you fellow mountain guys win or lose.
  6. BhamParker
    The cabin is just over 2,600 feet. I’ve stayed in a few cabins around 2500 sq feet and they seemed to do okay in the past. I tried to find one as high as I could.
  7. BhamParker
    18z GFS looks more bullish than it has in several runs with the NW flow.
  8. BhamParker
    Looks like the GEFS at least had more members with snow on the 12z run, but they are all light. That UKMET looks nice.
  9. BhamParker
    I’ll be pulling hard for some positive trends over the next few days. I’d just love to see a 1-2 inch event up in the smokies, but will has a great time regardless. It was crazy how good the 00z Euro, GFS, and Canadian were just yesterday and then the change was so drastic. Thanks for the response!
  10. BhamParker
    Models are really backing off on the weekend snow threat it seems. I guess we have time to turn it around, but it was looking like a nice event for the higher elevations at 00z yesterday and ever since then it’s just kinda crapped out. Still some ensemble support from the EPS, but most are very very light. Do these type of events for higher elevations, sometimes not show up as well on the model output or get better close to time? I noticed with this last system yesterday and overnight, the models were not spitting out any snowfall accumulations to really speak of and places still reached up 1-3 inches in spots.
  11. BhamParker
    Models are really backing off on the weekend snow threat it seems. I guess we have time to turn it around, but it was looking like a nice event for the higher elevations at 00z yesterday and ever since then it’s just kinda crapped out. Still some ensemble support from the EPS, but most are very very light. Do these type of events for higher elevations, sometimes not show up as well on the model output or get better close to time? I noticed with this last system yesterday and overnight, the models were not spitting out any snowfall accumulations to really speak of and places still reached up 1-3 inches in spots.
  12. BhamParker
    Hey guys, its been awhile since I have been on here, but I am from Alabama and will be making a trip with the family to the mountains in Gatlinburg in hopes of some nice snow from the weekend system. Our cabin is 2900 feet up off ski mountain road and we will be arriving early Saturday morning and driving back on Monday. We did this a couple years ago and Carvers Gap and a few of you other folks that are used to dealing with events in the mountains were a big help. I look forward to tracking this weekends storm and hope we can score on a nice NW flow event.
  13. BhamParker
    Hey guys, its been awhile since I have been on here, but I am from Alabama and will be making a trip with the family to the mountains in Gatlinburg in hopes of some nice snow from the weekend system. Our cabin is 2900 feet up off ski mountain road and we will be arriving early Saturday morning and driving back on Monday. We did this a couple years ago and Carvers Gap and a few of you other folks that are used to dealing with events in the mountains were a big help. I look forward to tracking this weekends storm and hope we can score on a nice NW flow event.
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