midatlanticweather

This would be called the Eskimo Joe Covidcane 2020 storm..

Starting to get there here in Loudoun. I have bouncing between 86 and 88 for a while now.. Many places just to my south have maintained 87 to as high as 90..so borderline.. All about the sunshine though, and it has been sporadic

88 hot and humid sticky degrees outside today! YUCK! DP shows 79 - So thick out there! If I move too fast feel I may cause a contrail! LOL!

That radar is interesting up there in Maryland.

Note the 5pm update

So far fringes in Nova. Trajectory not great for the rain shadow here in western Loudoun. Will need fresh development lee side to get anything, and I am a bit south too,. Maryland is lighting up quick!

Just because - WOW! What an explosion!

Not too exciting. Bit of wind and some quick heavy rain. Heard one thunderclap here in Purcellville. This is quickly moving on, but was not just a rain shower.. had winds in the upper 30s briefly.

Soupy out there for sure. Occasional sun in Purcellville with a temp hovering around 74 for a while. DP of 68

I just happened to read that warning and it was estimating winds to 80mph possible! WOW!

Wow! Glad they are ok!

Just a note! Eastern NC is lit! Wow!

LWX thoughts Potential still exists for a second round of showers and possible thunderstorms to develop in the 15Z-18Z time frame, but this isn`t completely certain it will happen. Hi-res models are in disagreement with convective coverage with the HRRR showing mainly shallow convection and the Hi-Res ARW and the NSSL WRF ARW showing scattered deep convection in the form of short lines or bowing segments. The 12Z IAD sounding showed two inversions with one from sfc to 850 mb and second one from 750 to 700 mb and corresponding high LFC or Level of Free Convection abv 700 mb. With best 3-hr pressure falls and height falls occurring over western and north central MD in the 15Z-18Z time frame, this is where I would expect the best chance of deep convective development rest of today. Regardless of convective coverage and intensity, strong gradient winds of 45 to 55 mph will occur outside of showers except greater than 57 mph in southern MD where 50kt have already been reported. The risk of convection will be winding down after 18Z and should be over by 21Z if not sooner.

Potential is definitely starting to show some focus. SPC highlighting Marginal next two days. HRRR going a bit crazy (notoriously).. We will see. Could be an interesting few days nonetheless.

Got some reports around Richmond

GFS looks so odd on the set up! Let's hope for a better look as time passes. Seems we have a lot of potential.. typical caveats on timing, cold, etc...

Yeah.. I know! But we have been screwed like this before, so I cannot completely ignore it! I do agree that the details are far from being figured out.

Fringed - Jumped over - missed in Purcellville/Loudoun @Ji - #WhatTheHeck

High is weaker and slightly further north. Agreed. That is always the worry as we get closer, that the cold is not as strong or far enough south. But we are getting too specific. This will evolve.. I suspect some wintry weather.. how much is yet to be determined

This seems like a weenie run. Hate predicting a model though

But did not get double digit frozen (even though it looks like a sleet bomb after a bit of snow)

I remember that one as well! Like a beach scene with 5 inches of sleet. Was so lame!