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SnowtoRain

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Everything posted by SnowtoRain

  1. Partly cloudy skies throughout our region while Cape Charles gets buried under 12" of snow and your 0" forecast still verifies.
  2. I think I'm sticking with 4", transition to rain, and maybe 1" from coastal as it wraps back in some colder air.
  3. NAM supports your assessment of the front end thump to light rain to dry slot. Does not go far enough out to see what the coastal does, but I would guess that with the NAM's evolution that will probably be minor for us. Again, this is the NAM at the end of its range so obviously many caveats, but the last two storms the NAM did sniff out the general evolution (QPF aside).
  4. @CAPE @JakkelWx misery loves company over in the Southern MD / Lower Eastern Shore thread...
  5. Euro put out more snow, but the surface temps get to >35 by hr 90 and stay above freezing for most of the remainder of the storm. Unless I misinterpreted something that is still fairly marginal.
  6. Not sure if this is really a fail since it was never a setup that would generally (there have been a few exceptions) give us much snow to begin with. From the models so far today it seems like 1-4" before transition to rain and then maybe a few snow flakes on the backend if we are lucky. So that is where my bar is set for this one. I think anything less then that would be a fail so with that low bar we should have good boom potential if the costal trends southeast more.
  7. You might get some mood flakes down there tomorrow, most mesos have some snow reaching up to Dorchester
  8. Can't say any of the current solutions look that great for our region, although I will reserve judgement until all of tomorrow's model runs since just yesterday everyone was panicking that the storm was going to be suppressed.
  9. Other than creating potentially unrealistic expectations of a storm that is roughly 6 days away by comparing to every HECS, MECS, and BECS in recent memory? No, pretty typical Tuesday in the Mid Atlantic subforum.
  10. Some pixie dust snow/ice, everything is iced over now. Looks like final snow tally is 0.3".
  11. 0.3" to be exact, enough to make some snowballs for the dog. Down to 30.
  12. 30.9, light to moderate snow, just under 0.5" on grass/cold surfaces.
  13. Enjoy! Down in Easton we have just over a dusting now and temps dropped to 32.
  14. Moderate snow 34.3, elevated surfaces have a coating in Easton. So far the NAM modeled this pretty well for the eastern shore. See how long the snow holds
  15. Very light frozen something falling in Easton, seems like shattered snowflakes.
  16. Salt trucks leaving Easton SHA en masse, the question is what will accumulate more, snow, rain, or salt... 36.5/23.5
  17. First WWA of the winter. Will be interesting to see how this storm works out. It seems most of the snow on the meso models is depicted as coming in very few heavier bands, which is always a tenuous way to get snow around here. 37.8/24.2
  18. Feels like winter today, saw some flurries. First and possibly last time this winter.... 25th looks like rain, except for upper shore and the follow up storm has some potential but at this range storms have generally trended to rain.
  19. At this point I'm not sure what sort of setup we need to get snow...
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