SnowGolfBro
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Everything posted by SnowGolfBro
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Tenman knows his highs. I agree the models are overdoing the jump NW. not by a lot but just about 50-75 miles
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The best part about this is that all 5 of these things are happening simultaneously. And that’s just at my desk lol
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Nice cluster off the Delmarva. Riding the GEFS until 12z tomorrow.
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The analysis is good based on the models. No argument there. But if this was showing a perfect storm track 90 hours out we wouldn’t be saying this is locked in. Well we might say it but we’d all be expecting the next model run to crush our dreams. This time I’m going to keep expecting the next run to bring home the bacon.
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I had a foot and then 2-3 inches from the last two storms. After a week of mid 50s over Christmas in Canaan. 6 weeks of deep winter and ripping fatties is all I ever wanted lol.
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Biggest GFS run of the year coming up. Baby steps. We stopped the bleeding, can we creep back toward a winning solution?
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It’s not just the NAM with the cold temps. To certain degree most of the guidance has shown a pretty stout cold shot before the storm dies whatever it does
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Any big hits in there? 40% chance of a warning level event ain’t bad
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Bring it home Yoda!
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If i remember correctly once we get inside that range the Ens typically more or less follow the op. Every once in a while they diverge inside that range and then maybe we take a look.
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That was definitely discussed. But even so, we still weight the ensembles more heavily until about 72 hours out from most storms. At least I’m riding that theory for another 24 hours lol.
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32, everybody eats
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Definitely. Can you send me a link? Thanks!
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Something about a blind squirrel and a nut!
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What could go wrong?
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I was in Reston for that storm. We got like 15 inches. I still think that’s where we are headed. Give the friendly models a chance to catch on to it.
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In 96 i remember calling the weather hotline everyday starting 4 days before the storm (I was 9 lol). But day 4 was 1-3 inches. Day 3 was 3-6 inches. Day 2 was 6-12 inches. Day 1 was 18-24 lol. So here is hoping this one breaks that way! I might call that hotline right now
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We are in the game for Sunday. That’s all i can really take from today. If the models were showing a perfect hit I’d be just as concerned about missing this one.
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Well it was a fun couple hours.
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Mentioned earlier, but we are going into the freezer starting Friday evening. If we do get snow Sunday it should stick from the first flake. Which is always nice . January ‘16 was that way if i remember correctly
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26 looks like a typical coastal monster. Favored areas get hit hardest. Mixing lower totals S and E. I’ll take it and run
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Good advice. Work is kicking my ass and interfering with my favorite hobby lol. But yes, I don’t get too excited until we get into the 48-72 hour range. If this looks good on Thursday all bets are off on containing my excitement. Hope you are having a great start to the New Year!
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It’s gonna be a long week.
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GEFS will be very interesting me thinks
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The GFS did pretty well with the last two systems. Not saying this is the final solution by any means. But getting harder to just dismiss the GFS
