StantonParkHoya

Everything covered rather quickly

I know this is weenieish, but any thunder reports regionally with this?

Good steady snow north Raleigh

Similar setup? RDU is 28-31 during the peak of this snow. It's not even really marginal.

What a shellacking!

Anyone have EPS?

Looks like ~5 inches on the HRRR for RDU:

Lol, HRRR might be a snowstorm

Objectively, no, no they haven’t. That’s why we have record books.

Well, I’m actually from the Raleigh area, and again, I said snow potential, not annual average. As in, top-end, maximum atmospheric condition. For the coast, I’d imagine this means bombing, negatively tilted sub-980 triple phaser with 20:1 ratios. Now, we’ve already seen max potential for the mountains, see 1993. I’d gander max potential for Currituck is greater than Boone at similar lat as Boone relies on dynamics, uplift, and elevation begotten ratios. Whereas the beach has unlimited moisture supply.

No I’m not. Mountain people really don’t understand the snow making potential of a 4,000 mile wide body of water. I said potential, not historical, although Currituck saw 26 inches in March of 1980 for an example.

A lot of people dont realize that the highest snowfall potential locations in NC are on the coast in general. See 1980, 1989, 1972.

I mean they were the most likely with this all along

I mean, northern Wake across eastern NC has at least an inch on the ground with most of the models. That aint bad.

Not great landmarks considering Northeast NC stands to do the best with this

I wouldn’t let that piece of shit GFS get you too down.

Who would be excited right now?

Is the new GFS out yet?

March is a full met spring month

Seems like we say the same thing with every version update. The 2004 version of the Euro was better than what we have in today's U.S. GFS.

There’s some steam interaction going on. Always a positive.

Eh, if this were a traditional Miller A, I'd be inclined to agree, however this storm has a bit differentiating it: 1) WAA driven precip; and 2) Excellent CAD setup. The CAD setups are generally undermodeled, so I would anticipate 2m temps to continue trending downward. I could definitely see a trend toward more sleet/ice in NC.

GFS v15 with the C-ENC snowstorm day 7/8. Nice.

Pretty classic setup for the models to trend colder as CAD is picked up. I like it.