I’ll be a cynic/realist for a moment — feel free to disagree or call me an ass — we have about 15 days in central/eastern NC.
1) We’ve been in an -NAO regime for 45+ days, that won’t last forever; 2) Late Feb is the new mid-March in the 21st century climate; and 3) Sun Angle(.)
Spring cometh despite the weenie protest.
I remember back in '09/'10, all the models kept showing SE snowstorms, feet and feet, then they trended into DC snowstorms. I want to see a south Alabama to Savannah snowstorm to feel good in Raleigh.
You'd think with that bomb in the NE, we'd have enough confluence to keep this thing south for RDU, yet no cigar.
Bet we see some MONSTER solutions in the coming days.
Wouldn't be surprised to see the precip start earlier. These setups are notorious for an early batch of moisture to roll in once the SW flow establishes.