StantonParkHoya
-
Posts
1,965 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by StantonParkHoya
-
Creedmoor/540
-
I’ll be honest, been back in Raleigh this winter, and it has accidentally snowed more than I can ever remember. Just today we had an intense snow squall that coated the ground. And it has rarely been mild or warm this winter. While we may have missed on the blockbuster snow so far, it has certainly felt like winter. Having grown up in the South, that is something to talk about.
-
Your geography is off. SOtB barely sees any snow on the Euro.
-
Very early in winter? Winter is halfway over. Met winter is what counts. In NC, winter for all intents and purposes ends March 1 except for very anomalous events.
-
Ripping in Boone per the King St. webcam
-
Other than the 9 people that live in the mountains, I think this one is a goner. All guidance looks like crap
-
Gonna be wild when N Wake and Creedmoor gets 4 inches and it rains downtown Raleigh
-
Again, totals for eastern NC going up and up with latest NAM. Gotta like the trends if you're Raleigh-east.
-
All the models are basically coalescing around the same idea now. For C/ENC, the key is going to be that deform late afternoon/evening and where the banding and rates set up.
-
Off topic, but it’s so hilarious that it almost takes an act of god, snowman cometh situation to get snow in the South, yet in the Rockies, it can accidentally snow in July.
-
This secondary max situation is becoming real for Eastern NC. They may cash in.
-
12z NAM actually lights up Central and Eastern NC as the "deform" rolls through Friday evening
-
Entire northern NC gets the goods on CMC. Looks like 6ish at RDU.
-
RDU folks will take and run
-
Tough for TV mets with a storm like this, where they like to broad brush accum amounts. Given banding, someone will verify or bust high, and someone will not come close.
-
I think the timing shift to later in the day has certainly hurt things, specifically BL temps. That is impacting accums.
-
Lol, NAM with a damn foot for northern Wake/Durham counties
-
For RDU, I'm thinking -- initial thump (mix/sleet?), over to light rain for a bit, end in some higher rates as final bands move W-E.
-
Please let it finish running for the more eastern folks before posting
-
This could be a coastal NC set up
-
One thing I'll watch for, in model runs and on-the-ground, is the "Dallas rule". Growing up in NC, Raleigh mets used to say if it was snowing in Dallas (as a result of a Miller A), buckle up.
-
Clearly going to come down to where the banding sets up and who gets the rates to overcome the BL problems. The idea is pretty set at this point. It'll come down to gametime to see where.
-
A word of caution on SREFs -- a few years ago in March, SREFS had DC in for 8+, Cantore went to the National Mall -- similarly in a borderline setup with regard to BL temps. It rained. Zero snow. SREFs fail quite often. Don't get overly excited about them.
-
Quick question -- why, with so many great mets and analysis on this board -- do some post maps from media outlets? Is it just for entertainment purposes?
-
Eastern NC actually ends up doing sneaky well this run
