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StantonParkHoya

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Everything posted by StantonParkHoya

  1. StantonParkHoya
    Hope it misses Bermuda
  2. StantonParkHoya
    18z tropical models took a swing right
  3. StantonParkHoya
    There’s no guarantee the low cuts off either
  4. StantonParkHoya
    GFS wayyyy OTS
  5. StantonParkHoya
    If the GFS is off by 2000 miles, we will get a landfall in the SE
  6. StantonParkHoya
    This time of year, any erosion in the ridging is gonna lead to a recurve. Yes it may get closer, but someone posted how anomolous it is for a storm originating east of 55W to reach USML in October.
  7. StantonParkHoya
    GFS has the thing 600 miles EAST of Bermuda for goodness sake
  8. StantonParkHoya
    The Euro would end up a fish storm too. Most guidance has it that way.
  9. StantonParkHoya
    He is not forecast to get near this. Closest approach is about 250 miles from Cape Hatteras.
  10. StantonParkHoya
    Seems to imply an absorption with the weak trough traversing NE, which seems unlikely.
  11. StantonParkHoya
    It’s like the equivalent of being in Warning criteria snow event, anticipating a foot and not even seeing a flake. Unfortunately have been a part of both.
  12. StantonParkHoya
    Pretty wild that this was a level 4 and even made national news.
  13. StantonParkHoya
    Lol at the Raleigh split
  14. StantonParkHoya
    Looks like it’s kinda fading out for the Triangle east
  15. StantonParkHoya
    Took Greensboro down to slight, and just kept the Triangle in enhanced....
  16. StantonParkHoya
    One thing about whatever line develops in CNC -- it'll be over and done within 30 minutes. Gonna be a mover. Then some snow showers tomorrow? Wild stuff.
  17. StantonParkHoya
    NC stuck in a CAD wedge. Usually hangs on longer than modeled. Would be surprised.
  18. StantonParkHoya
    Kind of sick to want snow at this point.
  19. StantonParkHoya
    Next week is truly looking glorious. HELLO SPRING
  20. StantonParkHoya
    It's not the high that's squashing this. It's the confluence over New England and resultant positive tilt. Need that to weaken and s/w to dive down further west. Still time. Also -- this is mid-day in March. Need some great dynamics (read: phasing between streams) to overcome the laserbeam-like sun angle we've got now. Total wag, but I'd still be watching if I were east of I-95 in NC or soutwest mountain folks as it comes across. Mighty big lift to get everyone in play.
  21. StantonParkHoya
    Next week is really shaping up for a nice stretch of dry and 60s and 70s with the SER flexing. Should be some ideal bloom conditions for bradfords and others.
  22. StantonParkHoya
    I’m ready to call it for Wake County south, and east. Spring is about to arrive.
  23. StantonParkHoya
    The likelihood plummets after Feb 15 or so. Sun angle kills any marginal events so it has to be anomalously cold.
  24. StantonParkHoya
    Last few days of met Winter. Let’s chase Spring and all it’s splendor. Post your mid and long range Bermuda Highs, pollen and blooms, bees and other telltale signs.
  25. StantonParkHoya
    31 here 5 miles north of 540 in Wake. Getting slick.
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