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Tar Heel Snow

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Everything posted by Tar Heel Snow

  1. Tar Heel Snow
    “NAM is excellent at picking out warm noses.” I can still hear the effects of that Jan ’18 Storm where people ignored it.
  2. Tar Heel Snow
    At this range is it better to trust the short range models for temps/rates, while we look at the globals to keep the overall pattern? Obviously we have a little ways to go before we get into the 3km NAM, RGEM, HRRR range, but what should we be looking for in regards to the pieces we need in play?
  3. Tar Heel Snow
    Next frame:
  4. Tar Heel Snow
    Oh hai Euro! Precip continues to trend back, still unsure about temps, but they look to be in mid-upper 30s across the region at these time frames
  5. Tar Heel Snow
    Also putting this here bc it's not really sanitarium material but that seems to be the only banter thread we actually have going
  6. Tar Heel Snow
    "With glooowing hearts we seeee thee rise, the true north strong and freeeee. From faaar and wide o Caaaanada, we stand on guaard for theeeee!"
  7. Tar Heel Snow
    Advanced a few frames and it actually keeps the precip shield solid through central NC and south-central VA
  8. Tar Heel Snow
    This is the content you LOVE to see! Enjoy that!!
  9. Tar Heel Snow
    First time I can remember not even having a legitimate threat to seeing a flake. That said, yes patterns as a whole have changed, but many people on this board could use a lesson in recency bias.
  10. Tar Heel Snow
  11. Tar Heel Snow
    0z CMC with some snow for western and central NC Thursday still
  12. Tar Heel Snow
    More from Newfoundland
  13. Tar Heel Snow
    several other tweets on his profile show that JMA has been really really accurate out to 2 weeks for the past month or so. A sign of hope perhaps.
  14. Tar Heel Snow
    For sure! You never know. Just discouraging, but we can stay hopeful!
  15. Tar Heel Snow
    This is just...sad. I figured I’d at least get a flake this year. Crazy things can happen but, oof.
  16. Tar Heel Snow
    Hope is dwindling, but it’s hope
  17. Tar Heel Snow
    Perfect, we need to cool those ground temps before we get anything!
  18. Tar Heel Snow
    0z GFS brings back some ZR/Sleet action
  19. Tar Heel Snow
    GFS stays with the interesting pattern for sometime between the 16th and the 20th. Good to see that at least hanging on this run.
  20. Tar Heel Snow
    Call it unrealistic, but the late hours of the GFS throws VA/North-Central NC a bone. First time we’ve seen anything, even in the long range, in a couple of weeks. Fits the relative pattern the CFS has shown over the past few runs of the pattern changing at the tail end of January. Something to (hopefully) watch! Edit: The GEFS average at the same time has most of NC and a good chunk of eastern SC with at least a bit of snow accumulation.
  21. Tar Heel Snow
    Well we haven't had a chance to see a clown map in awhile, so here you go from today's morning CFS one month out. This is exactly what this model should be used for and everyone should take it verbatim!
  22. Tar Heel Snow
  23. Tar Heel Snow
    18z GFS seems to have completely lost the weak wave for next Tuesday. Go figure.
  24. Tar Heel Snow
    I’d love to see the EPS members in the coming days. Tail end of today’s 12z Euro looked intriguing.
  25. Tar Heel Snow
    “Oooooh Canada...our home and native land!”
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