Tar Heel Snow

Wasn't sure where to post this (and wanted to hear from folks who are more well-versed in weather in our area), but what's the reason that a system like the one starting over Texas at the beginning of this gif pushes off northeast rather than "digging down" over the SE as I've heard on this forum over the years? What's steering this? the high in Quebec? What would it take to make something like this go favorably for us?

Even at 384 hrs, the heartbreak gradient is still there!

Oh to be a bird flying in the middle of a hurricane!

I'm sorry but this board is my favorite thing. You've got people arguing about small changes to intensity, you've got people arguing about radar, you've got people who are trying to get people to stop arguing, you've got people just making jokes, you've got awesome real analysis, you've got great chances to learn, and you've got people posting about arguments that happened 15 minutes ago because they just don't read what's happened since the last time the page refreshed. Y'all are great. Carry on, and stay safe.

Reading anything about the sun and kooky weather stuff just gives me flashbacks to sun angle posts for winter storms in the SE forum

At least Rutherford traded Jack Johnso—oh wait. Kappy being back is nice though

Finally starting to stick to some mulch, cars, and roofs.

Has been snowing harder here at UNC for the past 10 minutes or so, nothing sticking yet. Visibility down for sure.

Through moderate size flakes I just saw someone’s car get towed. That’s...just cruel

Some extremely light rain mixing in here now, just enough to maybe wash away brine lol

Light snow in Chapel Hill, no mix

RadarScope

Still waiting for precip on campus here in Chapel Hill

but also

Start of the lower-res NAM is looking waaaaarm bc of course

What exactly is the ferrier snow equivalent? How is it different than kuchera?

I’m getting biiiig Jan ’17 vibes

We really need an eyeroll reaction for this board lol

“NAM is excellent at picking out warm noses.” I can still hear the effects of that Jan ’18 Storm where people ignored it.

At this range is it better to trust the short range models for temps/rates, while we look at the globals to keep the overall pattern? Obviously we have a little ways to go before we get into the 3km NAM, RGEM, HRRR range, but what should we be looking for in regards to the pieces we need in play?

Next frame:

Oh hai Euro! Precip continues to trend back, still unsure about temps, but they look to be in mid-upper 30s across the region at these time frames

Also putting this here bc it's not really sanitarium material but that seems to be the only banter thread we actually have going

"With glooowing hearts we seeee thee rise, the true north strong and freeeee. From faaar and wide o Caaaanada, we stand on guaard for theeeee!"