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Tar Heel Snow

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Everything posted by Tar Heel Snow

  1. Tar Heel Snow
    At this rate I should’ve stayed in NC
  2. Tar Heel Snow
    Have had some on and off flurries here at work in Dumbo in the past hour
  3. Tar Heel Snow
    Oooh interesting that it’s uniquely bad compared to the rest of the city—any reasons why? I’m only a block from prospect park though, so hoping on getting to see some snow stick there
  4. Tar Heel Snow
    Trying hard to believe in the process, but it’s been a biiiit of a circus to say the least at times. 2 wins in a row now though! We went from having no defense and a killer offense the past few years to now having a decent defense but no offense.
  5. Tar Heel Snow
    I just moved up here from central NC. Had been there my whole life aside from a year and a half in DC. And boy I’ve had my share of disappointment. Hope I’m not too late on the climate change scale to experience a snowy NYC winter. Excited to learn some of the fundamentals of this climo!
  6. Tar Heel Snow
  7. Tar Heel Snow
    RAOBs?
  8. Tar Heel Snow
    Next 24-48 hours or so of the NAM will be interesting to see wrt the temp profile of this system. I always trust it most with handling that, but not sure if we're quite at the range to take its precip depiction literally.
  9. Tar Heel Snow
    about the same odds as Brian Boyle getting a hat trick tonight in LA...
  10. Tar Heel Snow
    Reminds me a lot of an old @Cold Rain post in the SE forum after a big bust there in Jan 2017. Obviously this is a very different storm, and not everything here applies. But I always try to keep in in mind.
  11. Tar Heel Snow
    Hey it looks like the actual fun-to-watch stuff should fall when we're awake at least for the 95 folks. I've been trying to focus on timing. If the snow turns to rain but you're asleep for it, did it really happen?
  12. Tar Heel Snow
    Roxboro, NC with a foot while Raleigh gets 3 inches, take this to the bank (I swear I'll learn more about this area instead of posting about NC all the time soon)
  13. Tar Heel Snow
  14. Tar Heel Snow
    Best storm I can remember in chapel hill, though some of my wake county NC friends were victim of that awful gradient over Raleigh. I’ll be willing all that yellow blob northeast this time lol
  15. Tar Heel Snow
    https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1470566092523270145?s=12
  16. Tar Heel Snow
    I’m going to be in NC for Christmas, so I’m certain it will actually snow up here next week lol
  17. Tar Heel Snow
    Happy to report that 13th St NW is brined in downtown DC, here’s hoping for a 30 second flizzard!
  18. Tar Heel Snow
    Nothing to add that hasn't been added to the discourse, but I absolutely love this idea! AMWX TV coming next?
  19. Tar Heel Snow
    Yeah after being disappointed by many a North Carolina storm, I’ve learned that when the NAM sniffs out a warm nose to never doubt it. I’d hoped maybe DC’s climo would maybe make up for some of it, but oof. I’ve learned my lesson again for a new place! Guess I have to move to Canada. But yeah, the dryness is very frustrating.
  20. Tar Heel Snow
    Been lightly snowing with small flakes for the past hour or so here in the District. The fact that there's still snow covering the ground and flakes in the sky is an absolute win in my book having just moved from Raleigh. Most snow I've seen since we had about a foot 3 years ago down there.
  21. Tar Heel Snow
    El oh el. This latest threat verbatim with models now blankets where I am now and then snow holes DC...where I'm moving this weekend. I think i've been the bad luck charm this whole time SE friends, please accept my sincerest apologies.
  22. Tar Heel Snow
    I’m literally moving to DC on Tuesday from Raleigh, this one’s on me! And I thought OUR snow hole was bad...
  23. Tar Heel Snow
    Just getting caught up here, so apologies if this has been mentioned, but ratios also will be down, maybe 5:1. I think a LOT of this storm is going to have to wait until the final hours just to get a handle on where strong bands will set up and to narrow down p types.
  24. Tar Heel Snow
    I figured I might as well fire up the thread just in time for the 12z Euro! Get your chainsaws ready, and let’s see what the first real track of winter brings us!
  25. Tar Heel Snow
    Great point, I think there’s still time for things to trend our way, but I also have a hard time trusting thermals on globals, especially this far out. Especially when it’s the CMC. It’s not too far out from NAM range, and I’d like to see what it looks like when it gets its hands on temp profiles throughout the different layers of the atmosphere. It doesn’t have the feel of an outside-the-mountains/foothills type storm, but there’s still time I suppose. Either way, the ceiling is probably low.
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