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OrdIowPitMsp

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Everything posted by OrdIowPitMsp

  1. This season has reminded me how true this is for our region. I won’t give my final season grade until 4/15 at the earliest and this storm has likely bumped it up a half letter. WWA hoisted for a couple more inches of snow with the deformation band as we fall back below freezing overnight into tomorrow morning. There will be a rock solid glacier by Wednesday, which looks downright frigid for late March.
  2. Quite a late season rally for Minneapolis. We’ve moved to 18th least snowy season all time and should be outside the top 20 after the deformation snows tomorrow. 25.6” season to date.
  3. There was a period of 1-2”/hr rates before the changeover but I was asleep. It’s absolutely puking snow in White Bear Lake. From downtown on north it’s all snow right now and the roads are getting covered again. Silver dollar size flakes. Home and the airport are reporting a mix.
  4. This is pure heart attack snow. Compacting into sludge and slush very quickly on paved surfaces. This is our biggest snowstorm of the year and I’m even happier about all the much needed moisture we are receiving.
  5. 8.2” storm total as of 1am. Transitioning over to liquid precipitation now.
  6. Looked like some gravity waves down in the I-90 corridor heading north too.
  7. Sun starting to set, heavy returns incoming upstream. This is where we start stacking flake efficiently. It’s been steadily snowing all afternoon but probably only 2.5” accumulation. It’s been an awesome day of watching the snowfall with my kid.
  8. Getting some steady light snow now. Still not entirely sure what to expect besides waking up to rain tomorrow.
  9. Getting into nowcast time and I still have no idea what to expect. Could see a sloppy 5-6” and then changeover to rain or we might stay frozen longer and pile up 12” before changeover. Model mayhem!
  10. I’ve got another month or so until I can grade this winter but preliminary results yield a D-
  11. Bottomed out at 18 here this morning under what remains of yesterdays snow. NWS is really stressing that snow depth will be much lower then final storm totals due to compaction/rain. They must be prepared for the onslaught of complaints when a location reports 12” and there’s only 6-7” in peoples backyards.
  12. Current NWS thinking, this only goes out to Monday morning when it’ll be switching to rain in the metro but still hammering points NW. There could be some 24”+ totals across central/north central Minnesota. I’m expecting the low to bump a bit north of current guidance and cut totals some more here but hopefully the opposite happens.
  13. Measured 3” on the deck. I’m sure there’s been some compaction. Snowing lightly so we might add a little more.
  14. Light snow underway a few hours ahead of schedule and readily accumulating. The last couple days have been below freezing and really cooled the ground off.
  15. My guess is they are waiting until after tonight’s snowfall to avoid confusing the public. Doesn’t make sense to me. My grid forecast for tonight says 3-7” so 4.1” fits nicely in that range.
  16. Bill Borghoff did the afternoon forecast discussion. He mentioned watches coming soon.
  17. P&C was bumped up to 4.1” imby for tonight’s event. NWS must think the heavier band will setup over the twin cities. We shall see. P&C is at 17” for the Sunday/Monday storm. Shocked it’s that high tbh. Models have been trending more frozen precip today but given the complexity of the setup I think it’ll be a nowcast type of storm.
  18. Every Twitter and Facebook metrologist needs to take the highlighted segment to heart.
  19. Wagons north is the trend today. Should still provide hefty precip totals here even if in more liquid form.
  20. NWS tweeted out the data. We’ve moved to #2 just in time for the streak to end!
  21. Quite a bullish afternoon forecast discussion by MPX. This tidbit at the end caught my attention. Things are about to change. “However, after the benign winter and how dry it`s been (MSP is now experiencing their second longest stretch ever with less than 0.01"), this system could bring major impacts to the region for a prolonged period.”
  22. I wonder how many times on record March 16-31 delivered more snow then December 1-March 15.
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