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Thinksnow18

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Everything posted by Thinksnow18

  1. Thinksnow18
    Thunder and lightning here in Williamsville as the northern part of the lake Erie band gets its act together. Very heavy rain ATM.
  2. Thinksnow18
    Tug where are you at now? The forecast for temps the next 6 days are all below average and 4 of them in the upper 50's...
  3. Thinksnow18
    I agree about the clownmaps during the winter, but ultimately I chalk that up to ratios and storm intensity and track. In the spring summer and fall I kinda believe the liquid amounts of rainfall more than the accumulation of snow/sleet. Now I'm definitely not advocating were getting 4" to 6" by any stretch but 2" to 2 1/2" would not surprise me.
  4. Thinksnow18
    There is definitely a model that KBUF is looking at that's not impressive. Just not sure which one it is...
  5. Thinksnow18
    As long as this replicates itself in about 9 weeks or so I'll be fine with it
  6. Thinksnow18
    I think the Buffalo metro gets a good dose of LER tomorrow night thru Wed. All models showing about a 24 hour stretch of SW winds in that time frame and good moisture...too bad this wasn't 8 weeks from now...
  7. Thinksnow18
    For fun the 00z GFS has a really interesting retrograde low the second weekend of October that would give the Adirondacks their first flakes.
  8. Thinksnow18
    Why does the forecast for next week looking less chilly by the day?
  9. Thinksnow18
    The cold blast behind that looks even more impressive.
  10. Thinksnow18
    Looks like near peak conditions by Tupper Lake.
  11. Thinksnow18
    Is that lake effect rain?
  12. Thinksnow18
    That would be awesome to see it
  13. Thinksnow18
    Wow. Im not too familiar with hiking the way you are but that seems a few weeks early, no?
  14. Thinksnow18
    Are you thinking areas like the Adirondacks and maybe the tug gets there first flakes during that time frame?
  15. Thinksnow18
    I just noticed that on TT...mines been closed for the better part of 10 days now.. In my mind there was no sense sense hoping for a hot enough stretch and I do not own a heater yet...thats next year and then I may stretch it to October
  16. Thinksnow18
    I mean it did actually get cold this past weekend. It definitely WILL not happen like he's suggesting but I wouldn't be surprised if there are upper 40' s in the hills for highs with that type of trough.
  17. Thinksnow18
    I see nothing in the models that even remotely suggests this but that is 10 days from now so I guess it's a small possibility
  18. Thinksnow18
    I got ya on this one Syrmax... https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=3338226619557906&id=129478830432717 If it is at all true...well...
  19. Thinksnow18
    Same...kids came downstairs today asking to turn on the heat...i said I'll turn it on when you give me your cell phones, computers accessories and iPad's...the furnace is still off...
  20. Thinksnow18
    54 dude how did you function?
  21. Thinksnow18
    I see the KBUF site is not working again or they have not updated the temperature yet. It's 37 Imby, 35 in Clarence and 43 at the airport...
  22. Thinksnow18
    Drove with the family from our house in Williamsville to Pendleton and there are many trees with vibrant fire red colors already and smattering of yellow...this seems early...
  23. Thinksnow18
    Same in Williamsville...lot of heavy frost on the roofs, car windshields, spotty on the grass.
  24. Thinksnow18
    Back to the weekend...NWS calling for -2c air at 850...frost will be widespread
  25. Thinksnow18
    If you take out the first week of September were probably more in line with Rochester.
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