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Thinksnow18

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Everything posted by Thinksnow18

  1. Thinksnow18
    Yeah it’s over brother. The days of cold stretches with a brief warmup are long gone. Now it’s stretches of warmth with a transient cold shot from time to time. It’s time to face facts.
  2. Thinksnow18
    Winter is dead, she’s melting, melting, what a world…
  3. Thinksnow18
    Not buying it yet. It was supposed to be colder after Xmas and it has been delayed. Call it buyers remorse or just been burned too many times.
  4. Thinksnow18
    Yeah it’s changed here in Williamsville to a snain type of mixed precip
  5. Thinksnow18
    Still snow in Williamsville, decent size dendrites and about an inch of paste down…wind is out of the NE so we MIGHT squeeze out another hour before changing over.
  6. Thinksnow18
    Yes it’ll be just our luck to get 2-3” and then watch it wash down the drain…
  7. Thinksnow18
    Currently moderate snow, big parachutes with some smaller, covering everything like paste.
  8. Thinksnow18
    Besides the inevitable shift north, the system as a whole looks very disorganized. Weak returns and just scattered precip over Ohio and Western PA. Not impressed
  9. Thinksnow18
    Yeah the pull of the Great Lakes strikes again…next…
  10. Thinksnow18
    Starting to think this “winter” will be crammed at some point to a 3 week timeframe. I believe it happened in January of ‘20 (when life was still normal) and we received a shit ton of snow at KBUF the last 2 weeks of January (40-60” if memory serves me) and that basically saved that winter. Kinda feeling a similar setup with a lot of ups and downs around it.
  11. Thinksnow18
    Well I guess that’s why I’m trying to understand why only the EPS is being shown…the other global ensemble says hold my beer
  12. Thinksnow18
    Hey quick question…what does the GEFS show during the same timeframe? Answer, it’s very different than the EPS…why are we choosing just that model? In fact the GEFS doubles down by New Years and would have quite the cold outbreak.
  13. Thinksnow18
    Looks like KBUF backed off a bit from earlier projections
  14. Thinksnow18
    Yes I’m aware. Guess I’m just surprised that very few of those runs have shown any type of real warmth is all.
  15. Thinksnow18
    Looked at the 12z euro op it has a one day warmup after Xmas…not sure why it the EPS makes it look way worse than that.
  16. Thinksnow18
    I see that. Question is how come none of the ops are showing that for Xmas day?
  17. Thinksnow18
    Normal still puts us near feeezing by months end and the GFS and Euro definitely don’t show a warmer solution
  18. Thinksnow18
    I’m struggling to see the models showing this?
  19. Thinksnow18
    Are you being hacked?
  20. Thinksnow18
    No
  21. Thinksnow18
    Honestly I’m tired of it. The actual season I love the most is being ripped to shreds more and more each year. The variability in our weather is what made this area so complete. It’s getting a bit depressing to know we’re not going back to the days we all loved and most likely why we started to love weather.
  22. Thinksnow18
    Let’s all remember it’s the individual members that make up the ensembles…I don’t think it goes this far north but anything is possible
  23. Thinksnow18
    There will be a WWA issued tomorrow afternoon for Saturday is my guess
  24. Thinksnow18
    Thinking KBUF changes their wording
  25. Thinksnow18
    Yeah I agree with you on that. I also read the typhoon is causing the models to stay warm as it’s not picking up on small details.
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