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North and West

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Everything posted by North and West

  1. Just goes to show why they’re historical. It doesn’t come together often. .
  2. 17° and snow winding down here, give or take a half foot of windblown powdery goodness, and I’m off to shovel soon and then come back inside and make meatballs for dinner. .
  3. I think what’s interesting about our perspectives is that two of my favorite recent storms - December 30, 2000 and March 6, 2018 - don’t mean much to people in our eastern region, while they loved that early January 2018 storm, February 2013, and probably this one, because of how it performed. It’s definitely our recency/personal bias at play that if it didn’t impact you (or really, the city), it didn’t happen. .
  4. Honest question: why do some people hug models and not see a bigger picture or trends, whether good or bad? I’m not trained, so just asking. .
  5. Isn’t it amusing that it’s the same thing year after year? Some people chase models as if they’re gospel, when they’re just a bow in the quiver of knowledge we have. Anyway, I have no idea what I’m talking about, but all of this has happened before, and all of this will happen again. .
  6. I just woke up a little while ago… how did the surface low end up tracking and precipitation shield go versus what was expected since last night? .
  7. Fun to see, right? I like this kind of storm - snow swirling and wind howling, but not a stupid amount. And I can say that after having three big storms in the past five or so years in my neck of the woods, so I’ve been spoiled enough. .
  8. Maybe 3-5” so far at MMU, but the wind has been howling. Lots of drifting for the moderate amount of snow we’ve gotten. .
  9. I’m not from there, but I don’t get why some people on Long Island don’t think the NJ suburbs count as the metro area. .
  10. I want this as the new Live, Laugh, Love sign. .
  11. It did start in Morristown. Interesting to see if it will be a push broom, leaf blower, or snow blower amount. .
  12. It would be kinda neat to see if where the cutoff is at this very moment doesn’t budge any further. Just neat from watching storms like this for years. It’s five miles away from me. .
  13. This entire thread should be speed read from the beginning to the Yakety Sax theme. .
  14. rclab, you’re pretty knowledgeable… what are we to believe? Why should I believe these randos versus the NWS? It’s crazy and it’s beautiful simultaneously. .
  15. Isn’t that kinda why we like it, though? To see the unexpected? .
  16. Thanks! Won’t deny that I wouldn’t love a big storm - but - we’ve had a lot in recent memory which satiates me, and if we get their 3-6” forecast (really, it’s 4 to 11 in my write up from them), that’s fine for the kids and dog to play around in. We had almost 4’ in my backyard last February and that was too much for them to have fun. .
  17. I guess if it doesn’t work out, we can move our focus to the warm temperatures and flood risk for mid-week? .
  18. I’m making meatballs tomorrow, so there’s that. .
  19. You guys have a prediction for down here for MMU? I think NWS is solid at 4. Not sure if I should expect more or less. Thanks. .
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