North and West

What does this mean? .

It also melted right away... ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

You’re right, and that’s my All-Time favorite winter. Imagine this: I was 11, and all of the preceding winters up until then throughout elementary school... no snow days. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

Correctomundo

The issue is preparedness. Hope for best, prepare for the worst.

Bingo. Storms have ruined many an elected official's career.

Craziest thing I saw this morning were abandoned cars. I've never seen that here before.

Yea... the trees breaking was like that up here in October 2011. We were crushed in March here with 20" or so and trees branches were down all over. I would like to avoid a repeat of last night if I can help it.

I'm not a pro by any stretch, but doesn't it seem like the NAM has been firing on all cylinders the past few years? Or is it just recency bias?

I think it was many bad factors coming together simultaneously, not least of which was poor preparation. One thing I didn't see on my ride home (which was harrowing), thank goodness, were downed trees. We were at 27-28 degrees most of the night during the heaviest precipitation, which allowed the snow to not cling to everything, unlike March 7, 2018.

Ah - I live in Morris County. The forecast was calling for accumulating snow here for a while; NJ flubbed this one.

I disagree; and this goes for each and every elected official that continually screw it up every storm. They're usually too busy pontificating about things that they don't have control over, while ignoring things they do, such as being over-prepared for a storm. And it seems like they always use the NWS or TV Mets as a punching bag/excuse when things go awry or not their way. I *think* it was Bill deBlasio who threw the NWS under the bus a few years back when a storm came in in the morning hours and snarled school buses? And to be equal opportunity, Chris Christie flubbed his first one on Boxing Day 2010, which Michael Bloomberg did as well. Trying to take emotion out of it, current elected officials were surprised, but also under-prepared. I didn't see pre-treated roads yesterday nearly to the extent I have in the past; I drive 46 every day.

This sucks. 2 hours and 15 minutes in and four miles to go on a 12 mile commute. Stopped at Dunkin’ Donuts in Parsippany. .

Starting snowing right by CDW.

No snow yet by MMU .

Any thoughts on this system for MMU? I’ve seen varying ranges. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

Sooooooo... as an amateur, what's going on? Trying to discern; TIA. Hypothetically speaking, if you were to live by MMU and need to commute tomorrow, what should we be expecting?

https://www.wsj.com/articles/natural-gas-is-getting-more-expensive-and-so-could-heating-bills-1542196800?mod=e2fb tl;dr: Natural Gas Is Getting More Expensive, and So Could Heating Bills Investors are bracing for continued gains in natural-gas prices this winter—a development that could pinch U.S. consumers who use the fuel for home heating. The rapid surge has rattled investors and traders, as the market goes into the winter heating season with less supplies in storage than any other year since 2005. Natural-gas prices have climbed more than 50% this year-- with most of that happening since last month-- while crude oil has fallen more than 20% from its October peak. That should lead to higher heating bills this winter, particularly if temperatures are colder than predicted. The U.S. Energy Information Administration expects natural-gas heating bills to rise by 5% compared with last year on higher prices. If the winter is 10% colder than forecasts, the government agency predicts that natural-gas costs will rise by 16%. Last winter, a severe storm drove natural-gas futures above $3/mmBtu. The Northeast, which lacks the pipelines needed to move natural gas, experienced even sharper price swings, with regional prices surging as high as $175/mmBtu. “The cold to this extent was not really on anyone’s radar. Now forecasters are scrambling,” said Jacob Meisel, chief weather analyst at Bespoke Weather Services.

That's nuts if that happens. ::will be cleaning out as many leaves as possible tonight::

Deep Thunder one from earlier.

Ha! ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Correct. That's the nightmare that pops up each and every time there's a storm threat; NJ.com or a similar Patch-like site will pick up on an amateur forecast blog (not like the stable geniuses that populate here) that posts these. Remember the 45" storm that was supposed to arrive a few years ago? It was due to a map like this.

I just heard my third grader exclaim “there’s SNOW in the forecast!” from his room. Glad to see it’s hit the next generation. .

Thank you! Glad to be getting back into it. I’ll be over it by January 5th. .

Question, because I just got back into the weather follow-up as I've turned my furnace over and the heat has come on at night and in the early morning... why is this year forecast to have a mild December? Thanks.