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Waiting on snow

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Everything posted by Waiting on snow

  1. Well that's a shocker! Can we just get this dumpster fire over with and warm up at least?
  2. Haven't you heard? The gov't shutdown is affecting the American models? Oh wait...nevermind that is the CMC. Lol
  3. What? Where is all this cold? That's the time frame it was suppose to be the coldest I thought?
  4. Not even close to historic. Half the board hasn't seen a flake. And temps have been above average the entire time so far. Dec was +1-3 depending on location and Jan is +5 so far, although that looks to surely plummet.
  5. The crystal ball is climatology. Odds are it's not going to snow here regardless of the pattern. I guess chances increase over the shut out pattern we were in. But are still slim and its always a fly in the ointment. You just have to find it.
  6. Yeah the long range ensembles look to lose the PNA. The blocking up top is there but I don't see how a conus wide trough is good for us at all. I could be wrong but seems like the storms would amplify due to the block and cut without a strong trough centered on the east coast. I sure hope we squeeze something in from the 26th through the 31st. Because if the models are correct and we lose the west coast ridge and waste the first week of Feb trying to rebuild it, then we're on borrowed time after that.
  7. I'm glad they're moderating. Sure it would be nice to set cold records in a time where that is so rare. But it would never snow with that kind of cold push. And in the end snow is all I care about. But that's just me. Others may enjoy the dry cold.
  8. Unfortunately though it looks like both the GEFS and the GEPS both break down this so far phantom epic pattern by Feb now. Hard to believe we may screw it up but I guess it is the south.
  9. Yes. It gets even more comical at 384. Surely it'll do a 180 in 6 hrs!
  10. I have no clue what I'm looking at! Super -NAO that pops a -PNA and torches the east. If that happens it'll be a first and we should definitely quit! Lol
  11. The GFS is such a wonderful model! Vodka cold to flip flops in 6 hrs!
  12. I like where the CMC is headed next Sunday. Matches the EPS threat of the 27th.
  13. Depends on who you ask! It's quite common along and north of 85 to get a 6+ inch storm every winter. Problem is it's usually only one and that's your season. GSP used to get double digits every 2 or 3 years from when records started up until 93. Since then not one double digit snow year. And 100 miles southeast Columbia hasn't seen measurable snow in 5 years. Which even there is unusual to go that long. Been a rough decade for warmth and lack of snow down here.
  14. Lol yeah. I'm in the far nw corner of SC thankfully. I keep my expectations in check and never, ever expect snow to pan out until I see it falling. We fail 90% of storms. I'm sitting on 6 inches for the winter and would love to just break double digits. Even if I have to do it one inch at a time. Lol
  15. What's a good free site to see the GEFS down my way in the Carolina's?
  16. Brad P says next weekend is something to keep an eye on. That's good enough for me coming from him.
  17. Man I hope so! As we turn the corner to Feb we're on the short side of time down here. March can produce big down here but it's rare. Your area has an extra month over us usually.
  18. For who you? With all due respect what's good for you isn't good for 90% of this board. But I get why you post here. You're between two boards, us and the Mid Atlantic.
  19. No, but considering we fail on 9 out of 10 threats it's a safe bet. Plus it's never looked good on other models. Very rarely do they trend south.
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