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Waiting on snow

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Everything posted by Waiting on snow

  1. Waiting on snow
    Grasping straws isn't it? Not starting and AGW debate in here, but I'm sure everyone agrees its not the same climate as even just 50 yrs ago, much less 200!
  2. Waiting on snow
    Just my opinion but it seems like when the AK trough sets up and the Pac firehose gets going it's hard to stop. DT always says do not believe any model showing an east coast storm until the MJO gets out of 4,5 and 6. So far it's taking its sweet time and wants to stall and loop in the warm phases which means Pac puke will continue until it changes.
  3. Waiting on snow
    It's all in the MJO and SOI which is apparently influencing the Pacific puke pattern. With it stalling and looping in the warm phases and the SOI being Nina like we are screwed even with the other indices. All we're going to do is block up mild Pacific air.
  4. Waiting on snow
    Yeah this epic winter that some thought including myself is quickly going up in flames. I said a month ago if you wanna ruin a winter let the modeled AK trough set up. And it did set up and looks to hold strong. That is one of the most stable winter patterns around when it sets up. Whether its caused by the MJO or not I don't know. The warm blob is all but gone now which should prove sea surface temps don't drive the pattern but are a result of the pattern. If we can't manage a good winter in a moderate Nino and low solar are good winters even possible anymore in this day and age?
  5. Waiting on snow
    For GSP going back to 1960 looking at Decembers that received 1 inch or more of snow, only twice did January follow with an inch or more. 10-11 and 17-18. If any month produced after a December snow it was usually Feb. Just food for thought. I have no idea how the pattern shapes up but if history is a predictor of the future snow will be hard to come by in January. At least at GSP.
  6. Waiting on snow
    Maybe Jan and Feb will be good to you.
  7. Waiting on snow
    Probably not necessary. My apologies. The point was no matter how bad you think you have it, someone always has it worse. If the pessimistic few are not happy with 20 inches per season they can send just half to me and I'd call it a winter. I'm sitting on 6 inches and really don't expect anymore. Anymore is just a bonus.
  8. Waiting on snow
    For a place that averages 1-2 feet per year I've never seen so much crying and moaning. You clowns would be suicidal if you lived down here in the Carolina's and had to deal with craptastic winters every year.
  9. Waiting on snow
    Huh? The accumulating snow didn't get much south of 85. How do you figure Columbia only got left out?
  10. Waiting on snow
    If it wasn't measurable snow does it really count? I don't count it. Reality is CAE has only had 3 winters of the past 15 produce an inch or more total for the whole winter. Absolutely pitiful even for CAE. I stand by my statement that is the biggest screwzone in the state. At least further south you pretty much know you're not getting anything. The upstate is guaranteed something every year, even the western upstate. CAE is always close enough to the action to keep Hope's alive but fails miserably in the end.
  11. Waiting on snow
    Good! Just where it needs to be at this range.
  12. Waiting on snow
    That area definitely appears to have it's own micro climate. I still would rather live there than CAE. Going 5+ years without measurable snow, relentless heat and humidity, 95-100 every single day from June through September. Even lines of thunderstorms break up before reaching CAE. Not the place to be unless heat and humidity is your thing.
  13. Waiting on snow
    No CAE has the honor of being the epic screwzone. They haven't had snow at all in 5 years.
  14. Waiting on snow
    The boogeyman is coming tonight! Aka warm nose!!
  15. Waiting on snow
    If Panovich's in house model is correct weenie land, oh sorry, RDU posters will crash the server for this thread!
  16. Waiting on snow
    I wonder why these look so much different than the Pivotal Weather ones on the south end around CLT back to Spartanburg?
  17. Waiting on snow
    I'll go with an ice-breaker after seeing the NAM for the 85 corridor.
  18. Waiting on snow
    Putting a pot of coffee on. It's about to get jumping in this b***h!
  19. Waiting on snow
    Yeah unfortunately I feel this one may be different. No where near the strong cold push and that was Feb. There was no doubt about the cold with that storm. Just precip types.
  20. Waiting on snow
    I remember closing in on the Feb 2014 event that the upper layers started coming in colder as the medium range models came in play. I don't remember exactly how far out though. Being 54 hrs out or so now you would think tonight at Oz something need to start happening and definitely by 12z tomorrow. If not I think it'll be a lot of heartbreak come go time for the 85 camp. You can't go into one of these storms being modeled on the edge. Cutoff most likely ends up nw of where modeled.
  21. Waiting on snow
    What disappointment?
  22. Waiting on snow
    Yes looked to me like it would have stayed snow from GSP all the way up. Does anybody have the Kuchera?
  23. Waiting on snow
    Glad I stayed at the bottom of the cliff through all the chaos yesterday. Look to be on the receiving end of the shaft as usual. Historic to bust in a matter of hours.
  24. Waiting on snow
    The high is weak. But good placement of the high and low off the coast.
  25. Waiting on snow
    Yeah the placement of the high and it retrograding west looks suspicious to me. I like the NAM for CAD but not sure I can believe that run.
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