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RevWarReenactor

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Everything posted by RevWarReenactor

  1. Its kind of interesting how the GFS did the same exact thing with the Thursday storm. Bringing it back on day 4 only to quickly take it away. Also happened to a lesser extent with the Dec 26th storm. Plus no ensemble support. Is something wrong with this model?
  2. GFS just seems off its game lately. Worse than usual. Not just with this Thursday storm, but I've been tracking snow in other areas of country and its just horribly bad even in the short range.
  3. Red flag there. Last time we discarded the GEFS and believed the OP model didn't end well.
  4. 12z GFS says, nope, just kidding, not a single flake for us.
  5. I love how people are saying "this season" will be cooked. We've been cooked for 10 years. I literally have not had a 6+ inch snowstorm here since the blizzard of 2016. I realize that doesn't represent all of the MA. But its overall been terrible for a decade now. This year is actually probably our best in 10 years. At least its not constant torch and we hit December snowfall numbers.
  6. Wasn't there originally a coastal? That idea is long gone. Now we are just hoping for a quick change over and accumulation. Upside potential is probably limited to under an inch best case. Hardly back from the dead.
  7. GFS in the extended range reinforces my thoughts going forward. A couple dustings here or there, followed by cutters. Warm wet, cold dry.
  8. It seems like the cold hasn't been the issue at all this year. No real torch. We just don't do coastal storms anymore for some reason?
  9. We haven't even had a single model graphic posted in this thread. Its that bad.
  10. New extended forecast: After the 2 non events later this week and weekend. It will get cold. People will be saying "end of January could be great" but as the days tick on, no threats will materialize. The cold won't last. We will torch some days. Last week in January we will have essentially shut out this month as per usual in the MA. Minus a dusting or two. But people will be saying, "Valentines day, yep, that is the period to watch". Remember this post.
  11. They keep saying the models are so much better now than they were 30 years ago. Are you sure?
  12. Ahem I am the best forecaster here.
  13. You can't seriously be taking anything the GFS says at hr 233 as gospel can you? Last week Chicago went from a Blizzard at hour 141 to a rainstorm one run later.
  14. We are getting there! I am thinking of doing a mid atlantic wx youtube channel where I always say it will not snow and be the most accurate wx channel out there.
  15. The flip to cold and snowy by mid January will not happen. You heard it here folks. Fast forward, its January 15th. Meh pattern. Minor cold. Some torch. No snow. But End of January will look great! Lets revisit this post.
  16. Ps: the people who complain about the complainers are actually far worse than the complainers. Imagine tracking weather in hopes of a winter and expressing disappointment when it doesn’t happen. God forbid!!!
  17. The early January cold and snowy pattern is no more. But stay tuned everyone; mid January looks great!! Its only 2 weeks away. This time we promise!
  18. GFs is warm wet cold dry. Great patterns have been 2 weeks away for the last 10 years.
  19. Surprising its so low. I am 20 miles northeast of you and we have to easily be pushing 4 inches. Although less on the street. This was a wet event and would have done way better with a bit colder temps. But still amazing. Its still been almost 10 years here since a 6 inch + snowstorm. (Blizzard 2016).
  20. It feels weird being in the bullseye for this storm. I am still expecting a rug pull.
  21. This honestly looks right. Tracks the climo over the last 10 years of the Dc to philly snowhole.
  22. Looks good now for a 2-3 inches of snow from DC to Philly up I-95. Just seems like the potential rug pull is high with this one.
  23. Psuhoffman said something that stuck with me, we've always been right on the line with events that would go in our favor. Now we seem to be just on the wrong side of that line, instead of just on the right side.
  24. Dusting here just south of Newark Delaware. Its really nice. Got this one in by the skin of my teeth. 10 miles north of here and nothing.
  25. The GFS is truly awful, this is probably the 6th or 7th time it has taken away the Sunday into Monday storm only to bring it back. Rain here, but ill chase it into NY.
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