StormChazer

Welcome! There aren't as many of us here, but we are passionate about getting our snow fix! Spoiler alert, many of us have been in a historic snow drought, so tensions run high here until we get a good winter!

Canadian and Euro both picking up on a system for next Thurs.

For inquiring mind who wish to know. I live in south Tulsa and we got just about 3 inches, looks like those first 2 hours of heavy sleet is what mitigated the totals in Tulsa.

VERY HEAVY sleet moving into Tulsa right now. All I can hear is ice pellets and the roads are already getting covered.

Lock it in and inject this into my veins.

Tuttle seems to be buying into a heavy sleet scenario for OKC and possibly Tulsa. Not sure I agree though(as if that matters).

I moved to Tulsa back in 2016, since living here, we've never been under a WSW let alone gotten more than 2 inches. So, being 18 hours out from this, I feel confident enough to say I'm glad I'm finally going to see over 3 inches! And living in sw tulsa, more like over 5.

Speak of the devil. Winter Storm Warning.

Here is the 12Z and 15Z HRRR at 3:00 AM Wed morning. You can see the newer run is cooler.

The rate it will be coming down, even if we lose an inch to melting, it's going to pile up quick and then it'll drop down to where it doesn't melt.

I figured Tulsa would have pulled the trigger already on the winter storm warning. But maybe they're waiting until lunchtime.

If you believe the 12Z HRRR then it's not out of the question.

Here come the warnings. OKC under winter storm warning. Looks like Tulsa will be too once they pull the trigger.

06z HRRR

Tulsa has expanded the winter storm watch further South.

Important NAM run in progress.

Wouldn't worry too much as the GFS has been the outlier this whole time and has been slowly moving NW toward the other models.

Don't you put that evil on me!

Winter Storm Watch issued for Tulsa.

Difference between the 3K NAM and 12K NAM is stressing me out since this is such a fine line...

06Z Euro for inquiring minds.

Tulsa’s thoughts on issuing a Winter Storm Watch. ” In addition to the previous discussion, a Winter Storm Watch was considered for portions of northeast Oklahoma for this forecast update. Opted, however, to not include a watch at this time due to some uncertainties in amounts. With that said, there is still the potential for several inches of snow to fall somewhere over the CWA with the greatest confidence somewhere near the I-44 corridor. If snowfall accumulation trends continue an upward trend, a Winter Storm Watch may be needed by tomorrow night.”

First snowfall map I’ve seen anyone put out so far. Think it’s leanings little too heavily on the Euro and should be pushed SE some, but that’s just me.

That’s it. I don’t care. I’m declaring this. “The One”. Yes, I know it’s the long range NAM, yes, I know the storm hasn’t been sampled yet, yes, I know there’s no science behind my claim. But I don’t care. I’m going to will this to happen! Not these numbers necessarily, but I’m declaring this is the one that breaks our 3 inch snow drought!