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StormChazer

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Everything posted by StormChazer

  1. StormChazer
    12Z Euro CONTROL run, for those who want to needlessly get their hopes up and enjoy seeing outlandish snow totals.
  2. StormChazer
    Intense ice storm on the 12Z Canadian. Last night's Euro backed off on the snow but increased ice outputs(frz rain and sleet) for our area. This morning and the noon run of the GFS pushes the storm to the north and leaves all of us relatively high and dry.
  3. StormChazer
    12Z Euro run...
  4. StormChazer
  5. StormChazer
    Something may be brewing a week out. Euro gives us a pretty intense winter storm. Freezing rain, sleet and snow. GFS similar, but been bouncing around on location. It’s one to watch.
  6. StormChazer
    Looking forward, it looks as if there may be something next weekend, but the models are pretty scattered on it.
  7. StormChazer
    00z NAM showing a faster transition to snow in the initial line that lives through Tulsa. Fingers crossed.
  8. StormChazer
    18Z NAM over here crushing dreams.
  9. StormChazer
    That's wild to me, is the elevation really THAT big of a factor down there?
  10. StormChazer
    12km 3km So around 5 inches for you on this run.
  11. StormChazer
    For the NAM? I'll send both the 3KM and 12KM,
  12. StormChazer
    Damn near a foot of snow for him on that run! I live north of Tulsa, so I too, am a fan of that run, gives me about 3 inches in my neck of the woods. I'd take that! This is such a unique setup and storm track with alot of boom/bust potential. I think someone forecasted to get an inch is going to wind up with 6+, and someone slated to get 6 will get 1. It just has that feel to it. I do think it's going to overperform though with some HEAVY snow(thundersnow) for some.
  13. StormChazer
    Models definitely more favorable for Tulsa today than they were last night. Looks like 1-2 inches in the metro might not be out of the question.
  14. StormChazer
    2 whole counties
  15. StormChazer
    Don't crush my dreams with your realistic approach. Tell me I'm going to get what the NAM showed yesterday morning with 13 inches of snow in Tulsa.
  16. StormChazer
    Nice 12Z NAM run, puts Tulsa back in the mix and drops half a foot in NW AR.
  17. StormChazer
    Unless I'm reading it wrong, based on the 500 MB vorticity, the NAM is going to come in similar to the previous run. Will post once it's up.
  18. StormChazer
    Here is the Euro shift visualized by the snowfall totals, it's pretty significant. It also looks like models are agreeing on a thin band of moderate snow on the west side of the storm near Tulsa, that will be VERY hard to predict where it sets up. Last night... Today..
  19. StormChazer
    At 21Z Difference. This run...
  20. StormChazer
    Euro is shifting west as well. Looks to be playing ball for you NW AR peeps. Will post soon.
  21. StormChazer
    12Z Canadian Vs 00Z Canadian. Last Night's totals. This afternoon... A definite increase in QPF and westward shift... NW Arkansas totals will be a lot higher if those temps get down. West Fayetteville VS East Fayetteville BIG difference.
  22. StormChazer
    The Euro is much more complicated.....it shows a significant warm nose for NE Oklahoma which stops it from snowing at all. Not much change from last night's 00Z run. That being said, the 6Z and 18Z runs of the Euro use outdated upper air data, so if there's a western trend, expect it in the noon run(which I will post).
  23. StormChazer
    Comparing this morning's 06Z GFS run to the 12Z run. You can definitely see that shift west. I will post the 6Z run of the Euro as well in a few minutes.
  24. StormChazer
    I'm not gonna talk about the NAM, I'm not gonna talk about the NAM, I'm NOT gonna talk about the NAM............................. but did you see it though?
  25. StormChazer
    Almost drops 2 inches in Tulsa though. That sure would be nice.
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