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StormChazer

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Everything posted by StormChazer

  1. I can tell you the short range 18Z Canadian is more west on the last hour than the long range 12Z is at that same time. Also the icon is jogging west as well on the 18Z run.
  2. Pretty much. But its still exciting to see haha.
  3. Here is the euro ensemble mean. Last night vs this afternoon. So on average more snow and further south a smidge.
  4. Put this in the win column. The 12Z Euro continues the slight nudges toward the GFS. 00Z Euro run 12Z Euro run. Higher amounts(yes I’m using kuchera) and slightly more SW.
  5. A definite shift in the right direction. Last night Today.
  6. Based off the upper air vorticity so far, looking like the Canadian is going to fall more in like with the GFS after last night’s abysmal run. We’ll see, I could be wrong.
  7. Posting the kuchera amounts for maximum weenie hype. Big takeaway is that after yesterday night’s shift to the SW, it’s looking like it was an outlier run.
  8. It’ll be interesting to watch. After last night’s run of the GFS going even further south and west, this morning’s has jogged NE. Have to wonder if it continues going NE more toward a Euro or Canadian solution, or if it stays out and the others move it’s way. The icon, which was one of the first to sniff out this change, has been trending back to the NE and leaving us high and dry. So I think today’s runs are going ti be very telling.
  9. Euro starting to trend snowier. Less about the amounts and more about location. 12Z and 00Z for comparison.
  10. Another strong showing from the 18Z GFS. Blizzard criteria. Don’t get me started on the kuchera amounts haha.
  11. Another dream run from the GFS after looking disorganized last night. This is just this storm totals isolated.
  12. These are my favorite types of storms, when they start to trend big under a week out. So often we sit in la la land with dream scenarios on the models and then at a week we get brough back to reality. So here's to hoping this westward trend continues.
  13. Here is that storm isolated. FWIW, Tuttle started to pick up on this last night with the UKMET and Icon and now the Euro is beginning to shift west as well on this. If we keep going, this definitey has some high snow amount potential and would definitely equate to a white Christmas for most of us.
  14. Euro is finally starting to come around. Last night's run vs this afternoon's.
  15. I'll post the Euro ensembles today after the noon run comes out. Here is the GFS members for this 1st upcoming storm system. Probability of 1 inch or more of snow, last nights run compared to today's noon run.
  16. 12Z GFS snow totals for the curious Canadian paints a similar, but much less robust picture.
  17. GFS hanging onto this small snow "storm" on the 20th.
  18. Could you imagine this 6AM Christmas morning? Of course, that requires getting 2 feet of snow, but I digress.
  19. I second this. Really liking that all the major models have snow in them, not necesarily at the same times and amounts, but it's there.
  20. Euro sniffing out the same storm as the GFS on the 22nd.
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