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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    IMO Dec 19-20, 2009 is the top analog storm for the upcoming event - at least in regards to precip distribution across the area - although no 2 systems are the same..... also I am siding with the EPS solution until proven otherwise...…….always go with the best Snow storm, December 19-20, 2009 - Storm Summary (raymondcmartinjr.com)
  2. NEG NAO
    that clown map is ridiculous IMO - example - why the low snow totals in western NJ PA border including Warren County NJ ?
  3. NEG NAO
    what's the story behind that 1969 storm and 1.82 precip and only 15.3 in. snow ???? with no changeover ?? low ratio's ???
  4. NEG NAO
    I am hoping we don't get that stalled out EURO coast hugger from 0Z because we have to keep the wind direction from more of a NE direction and hope the cold HP doesn't start sliding away to the northeast too fast and allow too much warmer ocean air to get involved - need a benchmark track .......
  5. NEG NAO
    im hoping it starts at about 6 am Monday so I am awake for most of it..............
  6. NEG NAO
    the big question now is how much snow we can get to accumulate before midnight Jan. 31 (Sunday) - to determine if NYC metro is below normal snowfall - normal snowfall or above normal snowfall for the month ...........the unreliable 84 hr. NAM does not have the snow beginning till late evening at the earliest....
  7. NEG NAO
    Upton and Mount Holly question that outcome for the immediate metro ZFP from KPHI (cod.edu) ZFP from KOKX (cod.edu)
  8. NEG NAO
    Probably because on the EURO the LP was actually slightly inland from the coast sitting there too long pumping in too much ocean air
  9. NEG NAO
    a real battle going on here as EURO up to this point hugging the coast causing a mix up here then moving northeast on this map
  10. NEG NAO
    I deleted the snow maps I posted today sorry if it caused a problem here..........
  11. NEG NAO
    EURO OP and most other models don't have an idea what is going to happen with the storm once it redevelops south of us - the storm itself is still off the Oregon/California border getting ready to move down the CA coast
  12. NEG NAO
    The primary low will reach the Ohio Valley sometime Sunday and then because of the blocking to its east/northeast will form an area of LP around the Hatteras area - classic transfer BTW - from that point the track of the LP is critical - does it start riding up closer to the coast or does it take a more northeast track ? The perfect track for us is a slow benchmark classic track just far enough off the coast so warmer ocean air doesn't get involved here - its impossible at this range to predict what actually will happen maybe in a couple days we will have a better idea..........
  13. NEG NAO
    GFS finally has storm exiting region early Wednesday almost 3 days after it started
  14. NEG NAO
  15. NEG NAO
    Still a work in progress - all options still on the table IMO
  16. NEG NAO
    Snow storm, December 19-20, 2009 - Storm Summary (raymondcmartinjr.com) That storm also was a slow mover up the coast and the EURO is stalled out and retrograding
  17. NEG NAO
    But fighting the block to try and move north
  18. NEG NAO
    is this February 26th or better yet March ?
  19. NEG NAO
    that reply doesn't tell us what the various ensembles show...........
  20. NEG NAO
    Suppression is definitely on the table for the next weeks event
  21. NEG NAO
    (25 Jan 2021) GFSv16 and HRW FV3 data are temporarily unavailable again due to continued NCEP data flow problems
  22. NEG NAO
    0Z Canadian Continued
  23. NEG NAO
    0Z Canadian
  24. NEG NAO
    12Z GFS Continued
  25. NEG NAO
    0Z GFS
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