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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    12Z GFS
  2. NEG NAO
    Yes of course - thats why I said until proven otherwise - need to weaken the block a little BUT also need to keep the cold enough air in place - thread the needle event right now the hole of the needle looks to be south of us......they are overdue for a SECS from Philly /south Jersey to Northern VA
  3. NEG NAO
    Until proven otherwise this is your "fine line" IMO
  4. NEG NAO
    0Z CMC suppressed
  5. NEG NAO
    0Z ICON is unbelievable
  6. NEG NAO
    0Z GFS cutter solution through the GLs for the first LP Next Week redevelops too late off the coast then whatever lags behind falls apart and is suppressed
  7. NEG NAO
    18Z GFS - another flip flop
  8. NEG NAO
    both systems are stronger with larger precip field then some other models
  9. NEG NAO
    which events we getting these snow totals from ???
  10. NEG NAO
  11. NEG NAO
    More then likely we won't see anymore cutter solutions.............from any model - BUT this is a real thread the needle situation we could easily miss this to the south too now...IMO
  12. NEG NAO
    12Z EURO
  13. NEG NAO
    I don't have the web building capabilities either - plus some of the links on his page where he obtained all the information from the NWS are no longer working ..... Also I did find this but it is not really detailed with maps other various graphics and other stats A History of New York City Snowstorms Since 1900 - New York City Weather Archive (typepad.com)
  14. NEG NAO
    Snow and ice storm, February 8-9, 1994 - Storm Summary (raymondcmartinjr.com) Snow and ice storm, February 11, 1994 - Storm Summary (raymondcmartinjr.com) ALSO THIS PAGE I JUST POSTED THESE LINKS FROM ONLY GOES THROUGH 2012 - 2013 SEASON - ANYONE INTERESTED IN STARTING A PROJECT TO CONTINUE IT WHERE IT LEFT OFF ???
  15. NEG NAO
    I would be surprised if we have back to back SECS or MECS in the metro next week - BUT that would sure stop some of the belly aching about how winter is over here..........
  16. NEG NAO
    12Z CMC
  17. NEG NAO
    12Z GFS
  18. NEG NAO
    yesterdays 12Z and the total snowfall - to gain any confidence we need consistency - a few runs in a row of the same solution
  19. NEG NAO
    0Z Euro - yesterdays 12Z GFS was similar in amounts BUT we need a few runs in a row of this from more then 1 model to gain any confidence in coming days IMO
  20. NEG NAO
    0Z GFSv16
  21. NEG NAO
  22. NEG NAO
    0Z GFS north again for next weeks event - no real redevelopment before it encounters any blocking
  23. NEG NAO
    The EPS and GFS both showing around 10 inches in the same location - interesting............
  24. NEG NAO
    problem is that 2nd wave gets shoved south by the block - at least the models have reintroduced the idea of significant blocking and a stronger HP in southern Canada
  25. NEG NAO
    Good idea - FWIW the 12Z EURO has an initial wave for Monday and then another to follow
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