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rainsucks

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Everything posted by rainsucks

  1. rainsucks
    wouldn’t be surprised to see some March 2012-esque departures by the end of the month for the extreme northern parts of the sub given how warm it’s been and will continue to be for the foreseeable future, and also due to the fact that there’s quite literally no cold air on this side of the globe.
  2. rainsucks
    All deterministic models are shit for the most part. GraphCast had a much better handle on the overall large-scale pattern for this timeframe.
  3. rainsucks
    HRRR has MKE barely tagging 50 on that day, which seems hard to believe. Think the model has a severe cold bias these days, which is strange considering it had performed fairly well in the past.
  4. rainsucks
    April maybe, but 2020-2022 all featured warm Marches, so not a bad run.
  5. rainsucks
    I don’t think we see a significant, long-lasting pattern change to colder occur this month due to MJO influence, but we’ll see.
  6. rainsucks
    lots of folks in denial for some reason.
  7. rainsucks
    yeah, I’m def seeing zero evidence whatsoever for a cold Dec. GEFS looked quite toasty, especially come second week of Dec
  8. rainsucks
    hmmm, doesn’t look like this month will be as hot as previously thought. The end of the 12z OP GFS run looked downright chilly for parts of the sub.
  9. rainsucks
    this weather is dogshit, can’t wait for the cooldown.
  10. rainsucks
    super Nino potential + rapidly warming climate
  11. rainsucks
    likely overdone, but this would easily result in widespread 100s across the region, especially when taking into consideration how dry it’s been and will continue to be. Idk why there’s such a big disagreement between the models tho as the GFS shows something completely different around this timeframe.
  12. rainsucks
    yeah, because of Pinatubo
  13. rainsucks
    endless 80s from here on out for me, I’ll take it.
  14. rainsucks
    this has been one of the nicest Mays I can remember in my lifetime, could use a little more humidity tho.
  15. rainsucks
    wouldn't call a +1.6 departure cold relative to average, but that's me.
  16. rainsucks
    surprised the record for this date is only 87, would’ve guessed higher.
  17. rainsucks
    that’s barely a fifth of the month… let’s see how it looks by the 15th.
  18. rainsucks
    so much for a cold first half of May, lol.
  19. rainsucks
    Too early for 90s imo, 70s is just fine
  20. rainsucks
    as I've been saying, the models have been exhibiting a severe cold bias in the long range for a while now, including the ensembles. Take the GEFS for example, you can't make this stuff up.
  21. rainsucks
    lowkey sucked tbh. Thankfully, nothing like that looks to be happening this year.
  22. rainsucks
    I mean average highs are rising rapidly still. At some point, below normal will actually feel quite pleasant.
  23. rainsucks
    Hope to never see another April like 2018 again in my lifetime.
  24. rainsucks
    They're not giving any reasoning for this, though.
  25. rainsucks
    What exactly are they basing this on?
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