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rainsucks

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Everything posted by rainsucks

  1. rainsucks
    yep, comfortably above average as expected, with the past seven days being very warm across the region.
  2. rainsucks
    unreal weather for mid-April
  3. rainsucks
    would’ve been close to the record high at ORD today if it weren’t for the lake breeze.
  4. rainsucks
    looks well above average IMO, possibly even flirting with record warmth at times.
  5. rainsucks
    couldn't care less about the eclipse tbh, just looking forward to the warmth.
  6. rainsucks
    Probably won't see any extreme warmth for the first half of the month, but you can't deny that it will be solidly above average.
  7. rainsucks
    Looking to be another nice month overall, with models once again trending much warmer in the extended.
  8. rainsucks
    at least it's looking likely that the day of the eclipse will be quite mild.
  9. rainsucks
    horrific
  10. rainsucks
  11. rainsucks
    DCA: +3.5 NYC: +3.7 BOS: +3.5 ORD: +3.5 ATL: +2.5 IAH: +2.1 DEN: +2.4 PHX: +1.0 SEA: +1.5
  12. rainsucks
    no shot at that, but top 5 warmest March is certainly in play for many.
  13. rainsucks
    ALL long-range modeling has been severely cold biased for quite some time now and cannot be trusted. bluewave has made some very informative posts on why this is the case and what can be done to improve the accuracy of long-range forecasting going forward.
  14. rainsucks
    until something changes in the Pacific, we’re not going to have a cold pattern lock into place for any extended period of time, sorry.
  15. rainsucks
    yeah, it’s truly been out of control this season.
  16. rainsucks
    if you’re referring to early next week’s cold shot, that looks to be quite short-lived. Mild Pacific air will flood the mid-section of the country shortly afterwards.
  17. rainsucks
    still looks above average to me. I mean the warmth probably won't be as extreme as it has been (relative to average), but it looks mild overall.
  18. rainsucks
    from this: to this, in just a couple runs:
  19. rainsucks
    you can’t really ignore the MJO imo. phase 6 is quite a strong warm signal for this time of year even when taking into account the ENSO. don’t really care what that awful new AI model is showing at hour 336 or whatever.
  20. rainsucks
    MJO really doesn't support it, but we'll see.
  21. rainsucks
    at this point, I'll believe it when I see it. Same exact thing was supposed to occur last month and we all know how that turned out.
  22. rainsucks
    you can continue to shoot yourself in the foot. fine by me.
  23. rainsucks
    yeah, @Chicago Storm was right in saying that you should read more and post less.
  24. rainsucks
    I've come to learn that the OP GFS is just a god-awful model. I wouldn't really take whatever it's showing in the medium-long range seriously. Although to be fair, the other deterministic models are quite putrid too.
  25. rainsucks
    very disappointing, and also a bit surprising that ORD "only" topped out at 74 today.
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