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rainsucks

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Everything posted by rainsucks

  1. rainsucks
    It will melt pretty quickly once dews creep above freezing
  2. rainsucks
    max attachment space of 1.95 mb per post is a joke.
  3. rainsucks
    GEFS looks extraordinarily warm for the first week of Feb. Would rather see that kind of pattern in April tho
  4. rainsucks
    not liking the most recent trends on the HRRR for NE IL. Seems a little hard to believe tho, but I guess we'll see.
  5. rainsucks
    for Iowa, probably
  6. rainsucks
    some weird downplaying going on ITT for some reason
  7. rainsucks
    what the Euro is depicting is actually pretty scary tbh, even life-threatening if one were to be caught stranded in it.
  8. rainsucks
    looking good
  9. rainsucks
    March 2012 was beyond exceptional though, like to the point where it doesn’t even make any sense. We were pretty much obliterating records a month ahead of time, with many cities finishing 4-5 degrees ahead of the previous warmest March. IMO the March 2012 heatwave is the most anomalous weather event in recorded history. Doubt we see a month like that ever again (in our lifetimes at least). 1945 and 1946 are nowhere close
  10. rainsucks
    nah, Detroit is out of the game for this one unfortunately
  11. rainsucks
    still feeling pretty confident, though I am getting a bit concerned about this possibly cutting too far NW now.
  12. rainsucks
    I'll make a first call of 18" for ORD. Could easily be higher tho
  13. rainsucks
    meh, I've seen much worse
  14. rainsucks
    Another noteworthy system looks to come sweeping through the region after this upcoming one. Honestly wouldn’t be surprised if some spots have a top 10 snowiest January, maybe even top 5
  15. rainsucks
    DCA: +2.7 NYC: +3.1 BOS: +3.2 ORD: +4.0 ATL: +1.5 IAH: +2.0 DEN: +2.5 PHX: +1.5 SEA: +1.1
  16. rainsucks
    nuts to see a scene like that in the UP this time of year.
  17. rainsucks
    that storm near the end of the 18z GFS run would put both GHD blizzards to shame. I understand there’s next to zero chance of it verifying, but still fun to look at.
  18. rainsucks
    ORD nearly tagged 60 earlier, not bad.
  19. rainsucks
    I’m actually getting strong 2011-2012 vibes from this winter so far, despite that one being a nina winter.
  20. rainsucks
    The models (even the ensembles) have been wildly inconsistent in handling the large-scale pattern during what is now the 11-15 day time period (though I suspect they’re likely too cold as usual). Still though, you can never be 100% certain as to how it’ll all play out.
  21. rainsucks
    right, but every forecast I’ve seen was still way too cold for Dec overall
  22. rainsucks
    is this supposed to be a shitpost or something
  23. rainsucks
    I don't think anyone had forecasted this month finishing with near +15 departures for any region, yet that appears likely to be the case for the far northern tier of the CONUS. Also, Christmas this year looks to feature temps running 20 degrees or more above average for a large section of the country that happens to include much of this subforum, so "mild" is a bit of an understatement.
  24. rainsucks
    With all due respect, there's virtually zero chance ORD finishes the month with only a +4 departure. +8 or +9 seems much more likely at this point
  25. rainsucks
    Still rather skeptical of an actual major SSW event occurring. I know the GFS and its ensembles have been hinting at one, but it hasn't really been that consistent.
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