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PositiveEPOEnjoyer

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Everything posted by PositiveEPOEnjoyer

  1. PositiveEPOEnjoyer
    AI models suggesting we see some legit heat towards the final week of the month. Either way, looks seasonable to above average for the most part.
  2. PositiveEPOEnjoyer
    good to see the models are still horrendously cold biased.
  3. PositiveEPOEnjoyer
    ORD is currently running a +2.4 departure and will likely finish around +3, good for a top 15 warmest April on record. That's a bit more than just "slightly above" imo.
  4. PositiveEPOEnjoyer
    that actually happened not too long ago in 2014 when ORD finished right at -5. But yeah, hard to imagine that happening now.
  5. PositiveEPOEnjoyer
    the incessant downplaying of warmth on this board is really starting to get old.
  6. PositiveEPOEnjoyer
    nah, he's right. It's been a notably warm and wet April across the region. Though northern Illinois seems to be a relative cool spot this month for some reason.
  7. PositiveEPOEnjoyer
    DCA: +1.7 NYC: +1.5 BOS: +1.0 ORD: +2.0 ATL: +1.5 IAH: +1.3 DEN: +1.5 PHX: 0.0 SEA: +1.0
  8. PositiveEPOEnjoyer
    I really don't understand what's tripping up the models. Can't ever recall this type of inconsistency before, very strange.
  9. PositiveEPOEnjoyer
    I never made any claims about this past weekend's (short-lived) cold shot being overdone. The one we're about to see, however, was 100% overdone by guidance (in both intensity AND duration), which I made very clear last week. Regardless, people shouldn't be complaining about this April as it's been quite nice for the most part. Unlike 2018 when nearly the entire month was stuck in a wintry pattern.
  10. PositiveEPOEnjoyer
    yep, there's been a clear warming trend for sure. Still receive a weenie from a useless poster for being objective, though.
  11. PositiveEPOEnjoyer
    I'm not even convinced yet that next week's will pan out as currently modeled by guidance. I'm not saying it won't, but the models continue to overdo the intensity of cold shots time and time again, so I'm a bit skeptical.
  12. PositiveEPOEnjoyer
    trolling needs to be more subtle than that, dude
  13. PositiveEPOEnjoyer
    yep, comfortably above average as expected, with the past seven days being very warm across the region.
  14. PositiveEPOEnjoyer
    unreal weather for mid-April
  15. PositiveEPOEnjoyer
    would’ve been close to the record high at ORD today if it weren’t for the lake breeze.
  16. PositiveEPOEnjoyer
    looks well above average IMO, possibly even flirting with record warmth at times.
  17. PositiveEPOEnjoyer
    couldn't care less about the eclipse tbh, just looking forward to the warmth.
  18. PositiveEPOEnjoyer
    Probably won't see any extreme warmth for the first half of the month, but you can't deny that it will be solidly above average.
  19. PositiveEPOEnjoyer
    Looking to be another nice month overall, with models once again trending much warmer in the extended.
  20. PositiveEPOEnjoyer
    at least it's looking likely that the day of the eclipse will be quite mild.
  21. PositiveEPOEnjoyer
    horrific
  22. PositiveEPOEnjoyer
  23. PositiveEPOEnjoyer
    DCA: +3.5 NYC: +3.7 BOS: +3.5 ORD: +3.5 ATL: +2.5 IAH: +2.1 DEN: +2.4 PHX: +1.0 SEA: +1.5
  24. PositiveEPOEnjoyer
    no shot at that, but top 5 warmest March is certainly in play for many.
  25. PositiveEPOEnjoyer
    ALL long-range modeling has been severely cold biased for quite some time now and cannot be trusted. bluewave has made some very informative posts on why this is the case and what can be done to improve the accuracy of long-range forecasting going forward.
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