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Henry's Weather

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  1. Thanks for the write-up. when you say the vortmax is pretty far west, i assume you mean on the models and not as observed right?
  2. That post as in the initial one saying setup is similar
  3. Do people have reasons to think the storm will tick north or is it just hopefulness? Like what are the synoptic features that would suggest this might come north?
  4. The storm as a whole or 18z GEFS? Probably the storm as a whole because GEFS are less than ideal
  5. We lost a lot of the western cluster with the 18z from 12z
  6. Areas of up to 18 inches in NE PA, NWS is bullish several days out, probably to be expected
  7. In hourly graphs, most spots along I-95 have about 12 inches progged by NWS.
  8. Gets everyone on i-95 in on the CCB while centering its snowfall totals where they rightfully belong in SNE. 10/10
  9. Do models feed in 6-hr-old data? According to the NAM, the most potent part of the s/w in question seems to be onshore at 06z tonight, so when would be expect models to have good sampling?
  10. the only thing I remembered from Shakespeare in high school
  11. Only tangentially related, but its a lull between runs so here goes:
  12. This is a system with chance for deformation banding, no?
  13. Don't think it'll end up being much than 0z to my untrained eye
  14. so you'd value gfs-para runs at this point more than gfs operationals? Intriguing
  15. Reverse weenie psych != actual objectivity. Where is the data that shows euro is worse in the mid-range? Anectodes aren't data
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