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Henry's Weather

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Everything posted by Henry's Weather

  1. Had a nice burst of mood snow here... got to see a kid walking outside with his father get really excited and try to catch them on his tongue. It's the little things
  2. GEM is a pretty messy setup and still almost scores. Slow dancing s/w under a massive block. That would be one hell of an angular momentum problem.
  3. Holy crap. That's seriously legit, strong s/ws. Anyone have Jan 2015 H5 maps handy? Just curious, I though that one was similar in terms of polar stream s/w location. Manitoba origin.
  4. What I'm about to say is unscientific obviously, but this year seems like it might be fruitful. Highly anomalous event in December, big block pattern in January. I think we'll get at least one more chance at a KU, my intuition says mid-Feb (after some relaxation late Jan). Some years just have the juju. Gimme the weenie tags.
  5. Idk, still worried about that unfortunate isohypse spacing... lol. At least I tried.
  6. That's because this system is trash. I'm a biased weenie and I wouldn't give basically anywhere cept DE Maine 4"+ probs.
  7. Not accusing you of this, but every time any meso has dogshit, someone will talk about it "chasing convection". God it pisses me off. Rant over.
  8. We're all biased, but how hard can the fall be when we expect several inches and receive a coating? As opposed to 10-20 and we get half a foot. I don't believe any of us here escape bias. That was my point, and I guess some will react more to the inevitable bust wherever it ends up, but the average weenie cares less about a busted 3-5" forecast than a busted 12-18".
  9. Seriously, the emotions only run high when we expect major totals. I hope no one in SNE is expecting major totals.
  10. Maybe shades of March 2018 with each progressive storm having more cold to work with? I guess this December's period was like that too.
  11. We just seem to have no damn cold air. I'd like to believe the PAC improves but that seems to always be 10 days away.
  12. You can see the impact of no deep PAC ridging here. The anomalous arctic rips apart the polar vortex and the cA air becomes cP as it's displaced southeastward, but without a PAC assisting, it just kind of dies on the east shore of Hudson Bay. The GEFS and EPS are in lockstep with this idea. So a great pattern for storms, but not much cold available?
  13. I'd enjoy a nice 2-4 inch event on the backside of an exiting storm. No need to go all or nothing on significant amounts every time it might snow.
  14. I don't trust these 37 at the surface deals. Sucks to be riding the line in January.
  15. I have no expectations. This airmass is complete shit. Any snow is gravy here on the coastal plain.
  16. why 33 to 44th percentile? do mets use 1/9ths instead of deciles? lol
  17. Remember when weak La Nina meant clippers? Exhausting to track coastal after coastal.
  18. 16 days out is a long time for small differences to manifest themselves
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