Henry's Weather
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Everything posted by Henry's Weather
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I think the NE thread is neurotic and then I come here and I realize I have it good near BOX. Lol
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Hey, I'm in the MA thread! This probably works out better for yall than for us in NE.
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Pretty clear-cut southern stream SECS/MECS on analogs, which makes sense given the slightly southernly location of that block, as tip mentioned.
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Illustrates the risk that y'all in the mid atlantic might be slightly better situated for this one
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Why? There seems to be sufficient wave spacing to allow some downstream ridging. It seems workeable to me, a non met...lol.
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Probably due to easterly winds off the water -
Had a nice burst of mood snow here... got to see a kid walking outside with his father get really excited and try to catch them on his tongue. It's the little things
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GEM is a pretty messy setup and still almost scores. Slow dancing s/w under a massive block. That would be one hell of an angular momentum problem.
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Holy crap. That's seriously legit, strong s/ws. Anyone have Jan 2015 H5 maps handy? Just curious, I though that one was similar in terms of polar stream s/w location. Manitoba origin.
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Alright, can this be moved or do I make a new post?
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What I'm about to say is unscientific obviously, but this year seems like it might be fruitful. Highly anomalous event in December, big block pattern in January. I think we'll get at least one more chance at a KU, my intuition says mid-Feb (after some relaxation late Jan). Some years just have the juju. Gimme the weenie tags.
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Idk, still worried about that unfortunate isohypse spacing... lol. At least I tried.
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coup for me as well. whatever. On to the next
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Something something wave spacing something something
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These miller Bs tend to trend progressive, don't they?
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That's because this system is trash. I'm a biased weenie and I wouldn't give basically anywhere cept DE Maine 4"+ probs.
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Not accusing you of this, but every time any meso has dogshit, someone will talk about it "chasing convection". God it pisses me off. Rant over.
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We're all biased, but how hard can the fall be when we expect several inches and receive a coating? As opposed to 10-20 and we get half a foot. I don't believe any of us here escape bias. That was my point, and I guess some will react more to the inevitable bust wherever it ends up, but the average weenie cares less about a busted 3-5" forecast than a busted 12-18".
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Seriously, the emotions only run high when we expect major totals. I hope no one in SNE is expecting major totals.
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Maybe shades of March 2018 with each progressive storm having more cold to work with? I guess this December's period was like that too.
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We just seem to have no damn cold air. I'd like to believe the PAC improves but that seems to always be 10 days away.
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No plowing necessary
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Such a tough forecast
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You can see the impact of no deep PAC ridging here. The anomalous arctic rips apart the polar vortex and the cA air becomes cP as it's displaced southeastward, but without a PAC assisting, it just kind of dies on the east shore of Hudson Bay. The GEFS and EPS are in lockstep with this idea. So a great pattern for storms, but not much cold available?
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I'd enjoy a nice 2-4 inch event on the backside of an exiting storm. No need to go all or nothing on significant amounts every time it might snow.
